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Conference League
Referee: D Rumsas
Crystal Palace
T S U U S
3–0
Full-time
Fiorentina
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
42%
75%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,05 xG 0,45
52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Crystal Palace Fiorentina
21′
🟨 Dodô
1–0 J. Mateta ⚽
24′
2–0 T. Mitchell ⚽
31′
Half-time 2–0
Y. Pino 🔁
↦ E. Guessand
65′
69′
🟨 Roberto Piccoli
Chris Richards 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ J. Harrison
78′
🔁 L. Balbo
↦ R. Gosens
82′
🔁 P. Comuzzo
↦ M. Pongracic
J. Lerma 🔁
↦ J. Mateta
83′
3–0 I. Sarr ⚽
D. Kamada
90′
91′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ N. Fagioli
91′
🔁 G. Puzzoli
↦ A. Gudmundsson
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ A. Wharton
94′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
29 E. Guessand F
Bench (11)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
11 B. Johnson
8 J. Lerma
10 Y. Pino
55 J. Devenny
34 C. Riad
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Fiorentina

4-3-3
43 D. de Gea G
2 Dodo D
5 M. Pongracic D
6 L. Ranieri D
21 R. Gosens D
80 G. Fabbian M
44 N. Fagioli M
27 C. Ndour M
17 J. Harrison F
91 R. Piccoli F
10 A. Gudmundsson F
Bench (11)
50 P. Leonardelli
53 O. Christensen
8 R. Mandragora
22 J. Fazzini
61 R. Braschi
23 E. Kospo
60 E. Kouadio
62 L. Balbo
15 P. Comuzzo
64 L. Deli
69 G. Puzzoli

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumsas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.