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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Basel
T U S T T
2–0
Full-time
CSKA Sofia
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel CSKA Sofia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 39%
17%
60%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 19%
17%
20%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,6
Scored
0,5
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,6
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Aug -22 CSKA Sofia – Basel 1–0

Match report

Basel CSKA Sofia
-5′
🟨 Geferson
4′
🟨 Jurgen Matheij
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Hristiyan Ivaylov Petrov
49′
🟨 Gustavo Busatto
Wouter Burger 🟨
52′
53′
🟨 Thibaut Vion
Á. Szalai 🔁
↦ L. Millar
65′
1–0 F. Frei ⚽
66′
D. Males 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
73′
73′
🔁 B. Moreno
↦ D. Bamba
74′
🔁 Geferson
↦ A. Youga
2–0 M. Lang ⚽
84′
Sergio López 🔁
↦ M. Lang
87′
87′
🔁 D. Nazon
↦ L. Tufegdžić
87′
🔁 S. Shopov
↦ J. Lindseth
Andy Pelmard 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
5 M. Lang D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Nuhu D
21 A. Pelmard D
23 W. Burger M
20 F. Frei M
27 D. Ndoye M
9 Z. Amdouni M
7 L. Millar M
17 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (12)
11 Á. Szalai
19 D. Males
22 Sergio López
13 M. Salvi
6 N. Djiga
24 T. Tushi
3 N. Katterbach
8 A. Diouf
34 T. Xhaka
42 S. Ltaief
16 N. de Mol
10 J. Augustin

Coach: A. Frei

CSKA Sofia

4-2-3-1
1 Busatto G
19 I. Turitsov D
2 J. Mattheij D
4 M. Koch D
6 H. Petrov D
15 T. Vion M
21 A. Youga M
27 Garcez M
7 J. Lindseth M
11 L. Tufegdžić M
30 D. Bamba F
Bench (11)
28 B. Moreno
3 Geferson
9 D. Nazon
8 S. Shopov
12 A. Bozhev
25 D. Evtimov
16 A. Donchev
20 Y. Baurenski
13 G. Minkov
14 K. Krastev
22 E. Mahmutovic

Coach: S. Ilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.