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Conference League
Referee: M Jug
Linfield
S T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Rīgas FS
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Linfield Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 49%
17%
80%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,4
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Aug -22 Rīgas FS – Linfield 2–2

Match report

Linfield Rīgas FS
43′
🟨 Artūrs Zjuzins
Half-time 0–0
J. Callacher 🔁
↦ B. Hall
46′
60′
🔁 K. Friesenbichler
↦ T. Šimkovič
66′
🔁 J. Vlalukin
↦ V. Sorokins
E. Vertainen 🔁
↦ J. Mulgrew
72′
E. Devine 🔁
↦ R. McDaid
72′
78′
🔁 E. Stuglis
↦ A. Zjuzins
82′
🟨 Stefan Panić
Ethan Devine 🟨
94′
C. Palmer 🔁
↦ S. Fallon
101′
1–0 K. McClean ⚽
104′
105′
🔁 D. Rakels
↦ J. Vlalukin
105′
🔁 Bill
↦ V. Jagodinskis
J. Stewart 🔁
↦ K. Millar
106′
Jordan Stewart 🟨
112′
114′
🟨 Žiga Lipušček
N. Quinn 🔁
↦ C. Shields
117′
120′
⚽ J. Callacher 2–0
own goal
M. Clarke ❌
penalty missed
121′
122′
⚽ K. Friesenbichler 2–1
E. Devine ❌
penalty missed
123′
124′
⚽ A. Ilić 2–2
3–2 E. Vertainen ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ P. Mareš 3–3
4–3 K. McClean ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ S. Panić 4–4
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Linfield

3-5-2
1 C. Johns G
18 D. Finlayson D
2 S. Roscoe-Byrne D
15 B. Hall D
7 K. Millar F
8 K. McClean F
5 C. Shields M
22 J. Mulgrew
16 M. Clarke D
20 S. Fallon M
14 R. McDaid F
Bench (12)
6 J. Callacher
23 E. Vertainen
19 E. Devine
35 C. Palmer
10 J. Stewart
31 N. Quinn
34 A. Clarke
51 D. Walsh
52 M. Williamson
53 J. Archer
17 C. McKee
4 M. Newberry

Coach: D. Healy

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
12 P. Šteinbors G
2 V. Sorokins D
92 V. Jagodinskis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
25 P. Mareš D
6 A. Jatta M
28 S. Panić M
81 T. Šimkovič M
3 A. Zjuzins M
9 Emerson Deocleciano F
19 A. Ilić F
Bench (10)
30 K. Friesenbichler
66 J. Vlalukin
21 E. Stuglis
10 D. Rakels
29 Bill
1 V. Černiauskas
13 J. Nerugals
4 V. Maksimenko
17 C. Kouadio
99 G. Žaleiko

Coach: V. Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.