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Europa League
Referee: H Osmers
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
S S T U T
3–3
Full-time
Ludogorets
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Aug -22 Ludogorets – FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–0

Match report

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Ludogorets
1′
🟨 Matías Tissera
1–0 F. Ourega ⚽
M. Oyewusi
1′
8′
⚽ K. Kažukolovas 2–0
own goal
Fabien Ourega 🟨
11′
11′
🟨 Cicinho
3–0 O. Buff ⚽
Renan Oliveira
15′
31′
🟨 Bernard Tekpetey
40′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
Half-time 3–1
57′
⚽ M. Tissera 3–1
B. Tekpetey
4–1 Renan Oliveira ⚽
M. Milićković
63′
64′
🔁 Cauly
↦ M. Tissera
64′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ B. Tekpetey
F. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ Renan Oliveira
71′
J. Tadić 🔁
↦ M. Oyewusi
71′
71′
🔁 Ž. Karničnik
↦ D. Gropper
80′
🔁 Show
↦ I. Yordanov
85′
🟨 Anton Nedyalkov
Francis Kyeremeh 🟨
89′
Mario Pavelić 🟨
92′
Nemanja Ljubisavljević 🟨
97′
M. Kuklys 🔁
↦ O. Buff
100′
100′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ Rick
P. Mamić 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
101′
M. Burba 🔁
↦ M. Milićković
109′
120′
⚽ O. Verdon 4–2
Mantas Kuklys 🟨
123′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
3 M. Pavelić D
4 K. Kažukolovas D
26 N. Ljubisavljević D
7 J. Bopesu M
23 O. Buff M
5 N. Gorobsov M
33 M. Milićković M
92 F. Ourega M
99 M. Oyewusi F
10 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (10)
77 F. Kyeremeh
27 J. Tadić
88 M. Kuklys
12 P. Mamić
24 M. Burba
25 T. Duka
15 I. Tatomirović
96 G. Jarusevičius
6 D. Kashken
81 M. Mikulenas

Coach: V. Cheburin

Ludogorets

4-3-3
12 S. Sluga G
4 Cicinho D
14 D. Gropper D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
82 I. Yordanov M
6 J. Piotrowski M
73 Rick M
10 M. Tissera F
9 Thiago F
37 B. Tekpetey F
Bench (11)
95 Cauly
90 S. Delev
21 Ž. Karničnik
23 Show
17 Jorginho
1 S. Padt
5 G. Terziev
67 D. Hristov
32 I. Plastun
75 P. Georgiev
91 A. Ganchev

Coach: A. Šimundža

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.