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Conference League
Referee: K Monzul
Hibernians
T U S U U
1–3
Full-time
Rīgas FS
T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernians Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Rīgas FS – Hibernians 1–1

Match report

Hibernians Rīgas FS
45′
⚽ P. Mareš 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Zachary Grech 🟨
51′
53′
🟨 Petr Mareš
56′
🟨 Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio
B. Kristensen 🔁
↦ Z. Grech
60′
Dunstan Vella 🟨
63′
1–1 J. Grech ⚽
71′
78′
⚽ A. Ilić 1–2
82′
🟨 Alfusainey Jatta
83′
🔁 E. Stuglis
↦ C. Kouadio
G. Mensah 🔁
↦ A. Diakité
85′
87′
⚽ A. Ilić 1–3
90′
🔁 D. Rakels
↦ K. Friesenbichler
J. Zerafa 🔁
↦ Gabriel Izquier
92′
Yunusa Owolabi Muritala 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hibernians

4-5-1
24 I. Koné G
13 Z. Grech D
6 Gonzalo Llerena D
3 F. Apap D
88 Rodolfo Soares D
8 J. Grech M
12 D. Vella M
42 A. Diakité M
10 J. Degabriele F
22 Gabriel Izquier D
23 Y. Muritala F
Bench (10)
11 B. Kristensen
17 G. Mensah
19 J. Zerafa
9 T. Groothusen
7 A. Attard
20 A. Agius
4 Lorenzo Fonseca
30 J. Ohaka
16 J. Haber
2 I. Chukunyer

Coach: A. Pisanu

Rīgas FS

4-4-2
12 P. Šteinbors G
66 J. Vlalukin D
92 V. Jagodinskis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
25 P. Mareš D
30 K. Friesenbichler F
6 A. Jatta M
28 S. Panić M
9 Emerson Deocleciano F
19 A. Ilić F
17 C. Kouadio F
Bench (9)
21 E. Stuglis
10 D. Rakels
1 V. Černiauskas
27 V. Fjodorovs
77 K. Dubra
13 J. Nerugals
4 V. Maksimenko
86 S. Cvetković
99 G. Žaleiko

Coach: V. Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.