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Conference League
Referee: L Visser
Nice
U S U S U
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Sheriff Tiraspol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
56%
33%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,73 xG 0,38
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Sheriff Tiraspol
1–0 G. Laborde
K. Thuram
30′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Moffi
P. Rosario
53′
54′
A. Tapsoba 2–1
A. Beka Beka 🔁
↦ J. Lotomba
67′
A. Amraoui 🔁
↦ M. Bard
67′
M. Viti 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
67′
N. Pépé 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
67′
70′
🔁 C. Badolo
↦ Renan Guedes
R. Belahyane 🔁
↦ Y. Ndayishimiye
75′
3–1 B. Brahimi
79′
87′
🔁 E. Gliga
↦ A. Tapsoba
88′
🔁 N. Covali
↦ S. Radeljić
88′
🔁 A. Moumouni
↦ M. Diop
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
23 J. Lotomba D
25 J. Todibo D
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
26 M. Bard D
8 P. Rosario M
16 A. Ramsey M
19 K. Thuram M
24 G. Laborde F
9 T. Moffi F
14 B. Brahimi F
Bench (10)
21 A. Beka Beka
38 A. Amraoui
42 M. Viti
29 N. Pépé
37 R. Belahyane
35 B. Bouanani
90 M. Bułka
34 Y. Nahounou
15 J. Bryan
77 T. Boulhendi

Coach: D. Digard

Sheriff Tiraspol

5-3-2
35 M. Koval G
20 A. Zohouri D
4 M. Garananga D
15 G. Kiki D
6 S. Radeljić D
42 Renan Guedes D
14 A. Talal M
8 M. Diop M
18 M. Kyabou M
61 R. Akanbi F
30 A. Tapsoba F
Bench (8)
10 C. Badolo
24 E. Gliga
31 N. Covali
12 A. Moumouni
33 S. Paşcenco
29 D. Ignatov
1 D. Celeadnic
26 A. Dijinari

Coach: R. Bordin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.