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Conference League
Referee: N Dabanović
Sivasspor
S S T T T
1–4
Full-time
Fiorentina
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/11 matches
Win Ø 58%
43%
73%
Points per game
1,6
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
43%
73%
Both score Ø 51%
57%
45%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,20 xG 1,64
35% Possession 65%
5 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -23 Fiorentina – Sivasspor 1–0

Match report

Sivasspor Fiorentina
F. Ulvestad 🔁
↦ C. Charisis
15′
1–0 E. Yeşilyurt ⚽
I. Cofie
35′
44′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 1–1
Half-time 1–2
62′
⚽ N. Milenković 1–2
R. Mandragora
Dimitris Goutas 🟨
63′
65′
🟨 Lucas Martínez Quarta
L. James 🔁
↦ I. Cofie
66′
C. N'Jie 🔁
↦ J. Caicedo
66′
66′
🔁 Igor
↦ L. Martínez
E. Gökay 🔁
↦ Samuel Sáiz
75′
M. Yatabaré 🔁
↦ M. Paluli
75′
Fredrik Ulvestad 🟨
76′
78′
⚽ D. Goutas 2–2
own goal
Hakan Arslan 🟥
81′
83′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ Arthur Cabral
83′
🔁 R. Saponara
↦ N. González
84′
🔁 G. Castrovilli
↦ G. Bonaventura
84′
🔁 A. Bianco
↦ S. Amrabat
89′
⚽ G. Castrovilli 2–3
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Nikola Milenković
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-3-3
35 A. Vural G
2 M. Paluli D
4 A. Appindangoyé D
6 D. Goutas D
3 U. Çiftçi D
37 H. Arslan M
5 I. Cofie M
15 C. Charisis M
24 Samuel Sáiz F
30 J. Caicedo F
17 E. Yeşilyurt F
Bench (10)
23 F. Ulvestad
90 L. James
10 C. N'Jie
21 E. Gökay
9 M. Yatabaré
58 Z. Erdal
96 M. Albayrak
16 B. Kuçkar
25 M. Yıldırım
26 A. Musa

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
2 Dodô D
4 N. Milenković D
28 L. Martínez D
16 L. Ranieri D
38 R. Mandragora M
34 S. Amrabat M
5 G. Bonaventura M
11 J. Ikoné F
9 Arthur Cabral F
22 N. González F
Bench (12)
98 Igor
99 C. Kouamé
8 R. Saponara
10 G. Castrovilli
42 A. Bianco
7 L. Jović
56 S. Sirigu
23 L. Venuti
72 A. Barák
77 J. Brekalo
31 M. Cerofolini
32 A. Duncan

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.