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Conference League
Referee: D Strukan
Djurgarden
S S S T U
0–3
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/15 matches
Win Ø 62%
77%
47%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
62%
33%
Both score Ø 51%
54%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,79 xG 2,50
54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Djurgarden Lech Poznan
Haris Radetinac 🟨
9′
42′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
Marcus Danielson 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
63′
🟨 Afonso Sousa
B. Šabović 🔁
↦ M. Eriksson
66′
67′
🔁 F. Marchwiński
↦ Afonso Sousa
67′
🔁 N. Kvekveskiri
↦ R. Murawski
Elias Andersson 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Bartosz Salamon
73′
🟨 Filip Szymczak
J. Bergström 🔁
↦ J. Asoro
74′
74′
🔁 F. Dagerstål
↦ J. Karlström
74′
🔁 A. Ba Loua
↦ F. Szymczak
77′
F. Marchwiński 0–1
Pedro Rebocho
80′
🔁 A. Sobiech
↦ M. Ishak
Carlos Moros 🔁
↦ E. Andersson
82′
I. Alemayehu 🔁
↦ G. Wikheim
82′
P. Bengtsson 🔁
↦ H. Finndell
82′
83′
🟨 Artur Sobiech
Besard Sabović 🟨
87′
90′
N. Kvekveskiri 0–2
92′
M. Skóraś 0–3
N. Kvekveskiri
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-3-3
35 J. Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
4 J. Löfgren D
3 M. Danielson D
8 E. Andersson D
13 H. Finndell M
6 R. Schüller M
7 M. Eriksson M
9 H. Radetinac F
10 J. Asoro F
23 G. Wikheim F
Bench (8)
14 B. Šabović
18 J. Bergström
17 Carlos Moros
20 I. Alemayehu
19 P. Bengtsson
45 M. Croon
31 G. Granström
40 A. Picornell

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
18 B. Salamon D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
21 M. Skóraś M
7 Afonso Sousa M
17 F. Szymczak M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
11 F. Marchwiński
30 N. Kvekveskiri
25 F. Dagerstål
50 A. Ba Loua
90 A. Sobiech
37 Ľ. Šatka
44 A. Czerwiński
33 M. Mędrala
15 M. Gurgul
77 D. Holec
23 K. Velde
3 B. Douglas

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.