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Europa League
Referee: M Oliver
Fenerbahce
S U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Sevilla
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/3 matches
Win Ø 66%
64%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
55%
33%
Both score Ø 28%
55%
0%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
2,1
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,75 xG 0,11
66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -23 Sevilla – Fenerbahce 2–0

Match report

Fenerbahce Sevilla
J. King 🔁
↦ M. Batshuayi
19′
1–0 E. Valencia ⚽
41′
Half-time 1–0
Serdar Aziz 🟨
46′
47′
🟨 Loïc Badé
59′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
73′
🔁 L. Ocampos
↦ Rafa Mir
73′
🔁 Suso
↦ Óliver Torres
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
75′
83′
🔁 Joan Jordán
↦ I. Rakitić
83′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ G. Montiel
E. Mor 🔁
↦ A. Güler
84′
João Pedro 🔁
↦ E. Valencia
84′
D. Rossi 🔁
↦ S. Aziz
84′
İsmail Yüksek 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Joan Jordán
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

3-4-2-1
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
7 F. Kadıoğlu M
80 İ. Yüksek M
26 M. Zajc M
24 J. Oosterwolde M
10 A. Güler F
13 E. Valencia F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (11)
15 J. King
8 M. Yandaş
99 E. Mor
20 João Pedro
9 D. Rossi
70 İ. Eğribayat
54 E. Çetin
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
5 Willian Arão
17 İ. Kahveci
27 Miguel Crespo

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Sevilla

5-4-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
2 G. Montiel D
6 N. Gudelj D
44 L. Badé D
3 Alex Telles D
19 M. Acuña D
12 Rafa Mir M
21 Óliver Torres M
20 Fernando M
10 I. Rakitić M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (9)
17 E. Lamela
55 L. Ocampos
7 Suso
8 Joan Jordán
16 Jesús Navas
43 Manu Bueno
25 Bryan Gil
31 Alberto Flores
13 Y. Bounou

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.