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Conference League
Referee: M Jug
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Lazio
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
85%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
69%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
46%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,34 xG 0,21
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -23 Lazio – AZ Alkmaar 1–2

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Lazio
Miloš Kerkez 🟨
2′
21′
⚽ Felipe Anderson 0–1
M. Zaccagni
1–1 J. Karlsson ⚽
J. Clasie
28′
42′
🟨 Matías Vecino
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Luca Pellegrini
58′
🔁 Luis Alberto
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
58′
🔁 Pedro
↦ M. Zaccagni
59′
🔁 N. Casale
↦ A. Romagnoli
2–1 V. Pavlidis ⚽
J. Karlsson
62′
69′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ L. Pellegrini
78′
🔁 L. Romero
↦ Felipe Anderson
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
86′
S. Beukema 🔁
↦ W. Goes
86′
M. van Brederode 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
46 W. Goes D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
8 J. Clasie M
16 S. Mijnans M
6 T. Reijnders M
7 J. Odgaard F
9 V. Pavlidis F
11 J. Karlsson F
Bench (11)
23 M. Lahdo
31 S. Beukema
19 M. van Brederode
34 M. de Wit
27 Z. Vanheusden
35 M. Meerdink
12 H. Verhulst
45 R. Owusu-Oduro
28 Z. Buurmeester
32 F. de Jong
17 Y. Barası

Coach: P. Jansen

Lazio

4-1-4-1
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marušić D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
3 L. Pellegrini D
5 M. Vecino M
11 M. Cancellieri M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
88 T. Bašić M
20 M. Zaccagni M
7 Felipe Anderson F
Bench (12)
10 Luis Alberto
9 Pedro
15 N. Casale
29 M. Lazzari
18 L. Romero
32 D. Cataldi
61 F. Magro
4 Patric
1 Luís Maximiano
44 R. Floriani
6 Marcos Antônio
50 M. Bertini

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.