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Super League
Referee: D Makkelie
2–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 31/35 matches
Win Ø 48%
42%
54%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 44%
39%
49%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · Olympiakos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 35 26 6 3 +35 84
2 AEK 34 26 3 5 +50 81
3 Olympiakos 35 19 10 6 +39 67
4 PAOK 34 19 10 5 +29 67
5 Aris 32 14 5 13 +14 47
6 Aris Thessalonikis 31 13 5 13 +13 44
7 Volos NFC 35 12 7 16 -22 43
8 Atromitos 32 8 11 13 -4 35
9 OFI Crete 32 8 11 13 -10 35
10 Panetolikos 32 8 8 16 -16 32
11 Asteras Tripolis 32 5 14 13 -17 29
12 Lamia 32 6 11 15 -34 29
13 Ionikos 32 7 7 18 -26 28
14 Giannina 32 5 12 15 -25 27
15 Levadeiakos 32 4 12 16 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Aboubakar Kamara 🟨
15′
1–0 L. Palma
36′
42′
🟨 Giorgos Masouras
Half-time 1–0
Cheick Doukouré 🟨
48′
54′
🟨 Oleg Reabciuk
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ L. Palma
58′
Marvin Peersman 🟨
59′
59′
🔁 Pep Biel
↦ G. Masouras
59′
🔁 Hwang In-Beom
↦ P. Kasami
Bryan Dabo 🟨
65′
2–0 B. Dabo
65′
69′
ℹ️ Athanasios Androutsos
VAR: Penalty cancelled
70′
C. Bakambu 2–1
74′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ M. Vrousai
Rafael Camacho 🔁
↦ M. García
76′
86′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ C. Bakambu
86′
🔁 Ramon
↦ O. Reabciuk
L. Christodoulopoulos 🔁
↦ A. Kamara
89′
N. Nkoulou 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
89′
92′
🟨 Athanasios Androutsos
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

23 Julián G
2 S. M'Bakata D
4 Fabiano D
43 M. Peersman D
18 B. Mazikou D
16 V. Darida M
6 B. Dabo M
8 C. Doukouré M
10 M. García F
47 A. Kamara F
17 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
11 J. Iturbe
64 Rafael Camacho
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
3 N. Nkoulou
99 M. Siampanis
88 R. Sgouros
9 A. Gray
13 O. Etebo
77 M. Panagidis

Olympiakos

4-4-1-1
91 A. Paschalakis G
14 T. Androutsos D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
24 O. Ba D
45 O. Reabciuk D
17 M. Vrousai M
27 P. Kasami M
6 Y. M'Vila M
19 G. Masouras M
7 K. Fortounis F
94 C. Bakambu F
Bench (9)
21 Pep Biel
33 Hwang In-Beom
28 M. Valbuena
11 Y. El-Arabi
2 Ramon
66 P. Cissé
38 D. Samassékou
88 K. Tzolakis
74 A. Ntoi

Coach: J. Anigo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.