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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Aris Thessalonikis

T S S T S

1–2

Full-time

AEK

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Super League · 34/38 matches

Win Ø 59%

44%

74%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 37%

44%

29%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	38	28	5	5	+55	89
2	Panathinaikos	37	26	8	3	+35	86
3	PAOK	38	21	11	6	+27	74
4	Olympiakos	38	20	11	7	+43	71
5	Aris Thessalonikis	34	15	5	14	+15	50
6	Aris	35	15	5	15	+14	50
7	Volos NFC	38	12	7	19	-31	43
8	OFI Crete	34	9	12	13	-9	39
9	Atromitos	34	9	11	14	-3	38
10	Panetolikos	34	8	9	17	-18	33
11	Giannina	34	7	12	15	-23	33
12	Lamia	34	6	13	15	-34	31
13	Asteras Tripolis	34	5	15	14	-18	30
14	Ionikos	34	7	8	19	-27	29
15	Levadeiakos	34	4	14	16	-26	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	19	15	2	2	+34	47
2	PAOK	19	13	3	3	+20	42
3	Olympiakos	19	12	5	2	+31	41
4	Panathinaikos	18	12	5	1	+16	41
5	Aris Thessalonikis	17	11	2	4	+18	35
6	Aris	18	11	2	5	+17	35
7	Atromitos	18	7	7	4	+6	28
8	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	9	3	+3	24
9	Giannina	17	5	6	6	-9	21
10	Lamia	17	5	5	7	-12	20
11	Volos NFC	19	6	2	11	-18	20
12	Levadeiakos	16	3	8	5	-5	17
13	Panetolikos	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Ionikos	16	4	5	7	-9	17
15	OFI Crete	18	3	7	8	-11	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	19	14	3	2	+19	45
2	AEK	19	13	3	3	+21	42
3	PAOK	19	8	8	3	+7	32
4	Olympiakos	19	8	6	5	+12	30
5	OFI Crete	16	6	5	5	+2	23
6	Volos NFC	19	6	5	8	-13	23
7	Panetolikos	17	4	4	9	-10	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	17	4	3	10	-3	15
9	Aris	17	4	3	10	-3	15
10	Giannina	17	2	6	9	-14	12
11	Ionikos	18	3	3	12	-18	12
12	Lamia	17	1	8	8	-22	11
13	Atromitos	16	2	4	10	-9	10
14	Levadeiakos	18	1	6	11	-21	9
15	Asteras Tripolis	17	0	6	11	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.