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Conference League
Referee: V Kopievskiy
Guimaraes
S S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Celje
T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
7,0
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,2
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
7,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Celje – Guimaraes 3–4

Match report

Guimaraes Celje
18′
🟨 Luka Bobičanec
20′
🟨 David Zec
André Silva 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Damjan Vukliševič
Mamadou Tounkara 🟨
43′
João Mendes 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Mark Zabukovnik
Tiago Silva 🔁
↦ João Mendes
60′
Adrián Butzke 🔁
↦ André Silva
60′
65′
⚽ G. Bajde 0–1
Nélson Luz 🔁
↦ Jota Silva
66′
Jorge Fernandes 🔁
↦ M. Tounkara
66′
76′
🔁 N. Kouter
↦ C. Ikwuemesi
76′
🔁 D. Popovič
↦ J. Lamy
Zé Carlos 🔁
↦ Tomás Händel
81′
85′
🔁 Edmilson
↦ L. Bobičanec
85′
🔁 L. Bizjak
↦ G. Bajde
Jorge Fernandes 🟨
92′
96′
🟨 Edmilson
Bruno Gaspar 🔁
↦ Miguel Maga
105′
110′
🟨 Lovro Bizjak
112′
🔁 M. Vrbanec
↦ M. Zabukovnik
117′
🔁 K. Špeljak
↦ A. Matko
119′
🟨 Matjaž Rožman
121′
⚽ D. Popovič 0–2
Tiago Silva ❌
penalty missed
122′
123′
❌ N. Kouter
penalty missed
Zé Carlos ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ L. Bizjak 0–3
1–3 M. Villanueva ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ M. Vrbanec 1–4
2–4 Bruno Gaspar ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ D. Zec 2–5
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Guimaraes

3-5-2
14 Bruno Varela G
29 M. Tounkara D
13 André Amaro D
3 M. Villanueva D
2 Miguel Maga M
80 Dani Silva M
8 Tomás Händel M
17 João Mendes M
72 Afonso de Freitas M
11 Jota Silva F
7 André Silva F
Bench (12)
10 Tiago Silva
22 Adrián Butzke
20 Nélson Luz
44 Jorge Fernandes
28 Zé Carlos
76 Bruno Gaspar
52 Alberto Baio
91 José Ribeiro
64 Gonçalo Nogueira
27 Charles
9 Alisson Safira
6 Manu

Coach: Moreno

Celje

4-3-3
22 M. Rožman G
23 Ž. Karničnik D
6 D. Zec D
81 K. Nemanič D
3 D. Vukliševič D
19 M. Zabukovnik D
8 L. Bobičanec M
9 G. Bajde F
14 C. Ikwuemesi F
27 J. Lamy F
7 A. Matko F
Bench (7)
10 N. Kouter
11 D. Popovič
77 L. Bizjak
30 Edmilson
13 M. Vrbanec
34 K. Špeljak
1 M. Jurhar

Coach: Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.