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Conference League
Referee: T Farrugia Cann
Aktobe
S
1–2
Full-time
Torpedo Kutaisi
U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aktobe Torpedo Kutaisi
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,7
Scored
4,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,7
Scored
4,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Torpedo Kutaisi – Aktobe 1–4

Match report

Aktobe Torpedo Kutaisi
Adilkhan Tanzharikov 🟨
22′
1–0 M. Samorodov ⚽
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Manjgaladze
↦ A. Tchitchinadze
46′
🔁 Omran Haydary
↦ L. Shergelashvili
46′
🔁 Kayke David
↦ G. Pantsulaia
58′
⚽ G. Arabidze 1–1
A. Niangbo 🔁
↦ B. Baytana
61′
A. Filipović 🔁
↦ China
61′
Y. Kybyray 🔁
↦ A. Tanzharikov
61′
64′
🟨 Giorgi Arabidze
66′
⚽ I. Bughridze 1–2
Leonel Strumia 🟨
72′
I. Ganaem 🔁
↦ M. Raičković
74′
75′
🟨 Nika Sandokhadze
77′
🟨 Nika Sandokhadze
77′
🟥 Nika Sandokhadze
I. Umaev 🔁
↦ M. Samorodov
78′
79′
🔁 G. Kobuladze
↦ M. Gigauri
80′
🟨 Giuli Mandzhgaladze
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aktobe

3-4-3
1 S. Pokatilov G
6 A. Kassym D
88 D. Yashin D
77 D. Shomko D
20 China F
5 L. Strumia M
19 M. Raičković M
31 A. Tanzharikov M
10 M. Samorodov F
93 Élder Santana F
7 B. Baytana M
Bench (10)
15 A. Niangbo
21 A. Filipović
14 Y. Kybyray
66 I. Ganaem
17 I. Umaev
80 A. Kenesov
41 M. Lobantsev
99 R. Izotov
9 A. Zhumabek
76 N. Izbasarov

Coach: A. Karpovich

Torpedo Kutaisi

3-4-1-2
31 F. Kljajić G
3 Pedro Monteiro D
16 N. Sandokhadze D
5 T. Nadaraia D
4 A. Tchitchinadze D
7 M. Gigauri M
6 Rahmat Akbari M
27 L. Shergelashvili D
8 G. Arabidze F
20 I. Bughridze F
14 G. Pantsulaia F
Bench (10)
13 G. Manjgaladze
11 Omran Haydary
38 Kayke David
15 G. Kobuladze
25 J. Chachua
21 Aldair Neto
37 A. Meparishvili
1 O. Goshadze
29 L. Mzhavanadze
2 S. Goglichidze

Coach: S. Kean

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.