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Conference League
Referee: C Theouli
Riga
S T T S T
0–3
Full-time
Twente
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 Twente – Riga 2–0

Match report

Riga Twente
Baba Musah 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
57′
⚽ D. Rots 0–1
K. Nguena 🔁
↦ Brian Peña
64′
E. Dašķevičs 🔁
↦ Douglas Aurélio
64′
A. Taiwo 🔁
↦ M. Regža
64′
G. Mankenda 🔁
↦ R. Jurkovskis
64′
72′
🔁 N. Ünüvar
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
L. Iberico 🔁
↦ A. Contreras
75′
80′
🔁 M. Rots
↦ A. Sampsted
80′
🔁 M. Bruns
↦ M. Hilgers
80′
🔁 G. Besselink
↦ Y. Regeer
84′
🔁 Y. Taha
↦ D. Rots
90′
⚽ G. Besselink 0–2
92′
⚽ N. Ünüvar 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Riga

4-4-2
16 N. Puriņš G
13 R. Jurkovskis D
34 A. Černomordijs D
21 B. Musah D
15 P. Bosančić D
30 Brian Peña M
3 M. Ngom M
14 H. Babec M
10 Douglas Aurélio M
18 M. Regža F
9 A. Contreras F
Bench (8)
93 K. Nguena
23 E. Dašķevičs
19 A. Taiwo
77 G. Mankenda
24 L. Iberico
1 R. Matrevics
12 K. Zommers
11 M. Soisalo

Coach: T. Stipić

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
12 A. Sampsted D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
20 J. Brenet D
4 M. Kjølø M
23 M. Sadílek M
11 D. Rots M
8 Y. Regeer M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
27 M. Ugalde F
Bench (10)
10 N. Ünüvar
39 M. Rots
38 M. Bruns
41 G. Besselink
19 Y. Taha
24 J. Mesbahi
14 S. Steijn
22 P. Tytoń
16 I. El Maach
18 M. Vlap

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.