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Conference League
Referee: S Stegemann
PAOK
S T U S U
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
17%
40%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
1,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
0,0
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PAOK HNK Hajduk Split
1–0 S. Schwab
12′
22′
🟨 Fahd Moufi
Half-time 1–0
Abdul Baba Rahman 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Zvonimir Šarlija
Giannis Konstantelias 🟨
56′
59′
🔁 I. Dolček
↦ E. Sahiti
59′
🔁 Y. Benrahou
↦ F. Krovinović
62′
🟨 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
Filipe Soares 🔁
↦ T. Tsingaras
62′
Taison 🔁
↦ K. Narey
62′
72′
🔁 L. Dajaku
↦ J. Mlakar
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ Filipe Soares
73′
Mbwana Ally Samatta 🟨
74′
Brandon Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
78′
2–0 A. Živković
79′
82′
🔁 F. Čuić
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
82′
🔁 D. Mikanović
↦ F. Moufi
83′
🟨 Ismaël Diallo
3–0 A. Živković
85′
88′
🟨 Filip Čuić
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
16 T. Kędziora D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
22 S. Schwab M
6 T. Tsingaras M
77 K. Narey M
7 G. Konstantelias M
14 A. Živković M
33 M. Samatta F
Bench (12)
50 Filipe Soares
11 Taison
27 M. Ozdoev
71 Brandon Thomas
18 Ž. Živković
55 Rafa Soares
19 L. Lyratzis
5 G. Michailidis
20 Vieirinha
95 S. Tzimas
10 T. Murg
29 G. Vrakas

Coach: R. Lucescu

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
13 I. Lučić G
18 F. Moufi D
31 Z. Šarlija D
5 I. Diallo D
17 D. Melnjak D
20 N. Sigur D
23 F. Krovinović M
77 E. Sahiti M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
29 J. Mlakar F
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (12)
26 I. Dolček
11 Y. Benrahou
22 L. Dajaku
99 F. Čuić
24 D. Mikanović
34 A. Kavelj
4 Ferro
1 T. Silić
19 J. Elez
36 T. Lauš
88 I. Ćubelić
7 A. Kalik

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.