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Conference League
Referee: J Brooks
NK Osijek
S T S S T
3–2
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NK Osijek Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
60%
83%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,0
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
21 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 Ad. Demirspor – NK Osijek 5–1

Match report

NK Osijek Ad. Demirspor
Kristijan Lovrić 🟨
15′
Domagoj Bukvić 🟨
17′
28′
🟨 Cherif Ndiaye
31′
⚽ Y. Sarı 0–1
41′
🟨 Benjamin Stambouli
1–1 D. Nejašmić ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ C. Ndiaye
2–1 M. Caktaš ⚽
59′
63′
🔁 Y. Erdoğan
↦ D. Akintola
P. Pušić 🔁
↦ M. Caktaš
64′
64′
🔁 Nani
↦ Y. Belhanda
71′
🟨 Andreaw Gravillon
V. Jugović 🔁
↦ D. Nejašmić
73′
N. Omerović 🔁
↦ D. Bukvić
73′
75′
🔁 D. Toköz
↦ B. Stambouli
Šime Gržan 🟨
76′
J. Špoljarić 🔁
↦ R. Mierez
80′
A. Hiroš 🔁
↦ K. Lovrić
80′
81′
🟨 Semih Güler
3–1 Š. Gržan ⚽
82′
Petar Brlek 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Nani
91′
⚽ Y. Erdoğan 3–2
94′
🔁 A. Dursun
↦ Y. Sarı
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

NK Osijek

4-3-3
31 M. Malenica G
17 Š. Gržan D
37 A. Barišić D
5 S. Mkrtchyan D
42 Renan Guedes D
6 D. Nejašmić M
11 M. Caktaš M
23 P. Brlek M
39 D. Bukvić F
13 R. Mierez F
44 K. Lovrić F
Bench (12)
66 P. Pušić
7 V. Jugović
36 N. Omerović
10 J. Špoljarić
79 A. Hiroš
28 S. Bralić
55 O. Drambaev
24 F. Živković
19 M. Žaper
98 Š. Mikolčić
15 M. Barešić
41 S. Evangelou

Coach: S. Tomas

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
18 G. Karačić G
22 J. Svensson D
5 A. Gravillon D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 E. Akbaba M
7 Y. Sarı M
10 Y. Belhanda M
11 D. Akintola M
99 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
9 M. Niang
32 Y. Erdoğan
30 Nani
26 D. Toköz
3 A. Dursun
6 T. Aydoğan
21 A. Burak
2 İ. Çokçalış
15 J. Manev
25 E. Özbir

Coach: P. Kluivert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.