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Europa League
Referee: W Delajod
HJK Helsinki
S U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Qarabag
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 Qarabag – HJK Helsinki 2–1

Match report

HJK Helsinki Qarabag
1–0 S. Hostikka ⚽
T. Keskinen
10′
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 🟨
14′
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 🟨
16′
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 🟥
16′
A. Halme 🔁
↦ M. Tenho
39′
Half-time 1–0
M. Peltola 🔁
↦ T. Ollila
46′
A. Olusanya 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
46′
46′
🔁 B. Hüseynov
↦ B. Mustafazadə
48′
⚽ T. Bayramov 1–1
Topi Keskinen 🟨
51′
55′
⚽ Y. Benzia 1–2
B. Hüseynov
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
62′
H. Bandé 🔁
↦ B. Radulović
62′
73′
🔁 Juninho
↦ R. Xhixha
Përparim Hetemaj 🟨
75′
79′
🔁 N. Axundzadə
↦ Leandro Andrade
83′
🟨 Şahrudin Mahammadaliyev
85′
🟨 Júlio Romão
87′
🔁 Patrick Andrade
↦ Y. Benzia
87′
🔁 M. Medvedev
↦ T. Bayramov
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
85 N. Mäenpää G
4 J. Toivio D
15 M. Tenho D
22 J. Raitala D
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan D
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
10 L. Lingman M
2 T. Ollila D
18 T. Keskinen M
9 B. Radulović F
7 S. Hostikka F
Bench (12)
6 A. Halme
14 M. Peltola
29 A. Olusanya
56 P. Hetemaj
17 H. Bandé
5 Kristopher Da Graca
3 N. Hämäläinen
8 F. Rogić
11 R. Riski
1 J. Öst
37 A. Tanaka
78 A. Ramula

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
27 T. Bayramov D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev M
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
19 R. Xhixha F
Bench (12)
55 B. Hüseynov
18 Juninho
90 N. Axundzadə
66 Patrick Andrade
5 M. Medvedev
89 A. Ramazanov
83 N. Quliyev
11 A. Diakhaby
20 R. Almeyda
23 L. Gugeshashvili
4 R. Məmmədov
17 H. Keyta

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.