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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

FC Copenhagen

S T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Midtjylland

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 59%

56%

61%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

61%

56%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,26 xG 1,81

42% Possession 58%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Copenhagen 1. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	18	10	6	2	+14	+9.6	36
2	Midtjylland	18	11	3	4	+10	+2.2	36
3	Aarhus	19	9	7	3	+20	+7.7	34
4	Brondby	19	8	7	4	+12	+7.9	31
5	Randers FC	19	8	7	4	+11	+9.5	31
6	Nordsjaelland	18	8	5	5	+2	+5.8	29
7	Silkeborg	18	6	8	4	+5	-1.2	26
8	Viborg	18	5	6	7	-1	-3.7	21
9	Aalborg	18	4	5	9	-17	-13.9	17
10	Sonderjyske	19	4	4	11	-20	-11.8	16
11	Lyngby	19	1	8	10	-13	-4.0	11
12	Vejle	19	2	4	13	-23	-8.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	8	0	1	+8	+4.5	24
2	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+16	+6.1	22
3	Nordsjaelland	10	6	4	0	+10	+5.9	22
4	FC Copenhagen	9	6	3	0	+10	+6.5	21
5	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.4	18
6	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.7	16
7	Randers FC	9	4	2	3	+5	+6.0	14
8	Viborg	8	4	2	2	+3	-2.2	14
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	9	2	3	4	-9	-6.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	10	1	3	6	-11	-0.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	FC Copenhagen	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.1	15
3	Brondby	10	3	4	3	+4	+3.4	13
4	Aarhus	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.7	12
5	Midtjylland	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.2	12
6	Silkeborg	8	2	4	2	+2	-0.5	10
7	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
8	Nordsjaelland	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.2	7
9	Sonderjyske	10	2	1	7	-11	-5.0	7
10	Aalborg	10	1	3	6	-12	-9.5	6
11	Vejle	9	1	1	7	-12	-7.5	4
12	Lyngby	9	0	3	6	-7	-3.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.