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Conference League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Chelsea
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/17 matches
Win Ø 72%
85%
59%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
77%
59%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
53%
Average goals
3,9
2,6
Scored
3,1
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,33 xG 0,52
65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. May -25 Djurgarden – Chelsea 1–4

Match report

Chelsea Djurgarden
Tosin Adarabioyo 🟨
17′
1–0 K. Dewsbury-Hall ⚽
T. George
38′
Half-time 1–0
S. Mheuka 🔁
↦ Marc Cucurella
46′
53′
🟨 Daniel Stensson
64′
🔁 I. Alemayehu
↦ S. Haarala
64′
🔁 M. Danielson
↦ J. Une Larsson
T. Chalobah 🔁
↦ R. James
70′
G. Antwi 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
70′
81′
🔁 M. Vučenović Persson
↦ D. Stensson
86′
🔁 C. Selfvén
↦ H. Finndell
86′
🔁 A. Atlee Manneh
↦ T. Gulliksen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-4-1-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
27 M. Gusto D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
34 J. Acheampong D
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
24 R. James M
3 Marc Cucurella M
19 J. Sancho M
81 R. Walsh F
32 T. George F
Bench (12)
76 S. Mheuka
23 T. Chalobah
64 G. Antwi
47 L. Bergström
8 E. Fernández
7 Pedro Neto
20 C. Palmer
25 M. Caicedo
15 N. Jackson
1 Robert Sánchez
11 N. Madueke
6 L. Colwill

Coach: E. Maresca

Djurgarden

4-3-3
35 J. Rinne G
27 K. Kosugi D
5 M. Tenho D
4 J. Une Larsson D
19 V. Bergh D
14 H. Finndell M
13 D. Stensson M
16 T. Gulliksen M
26 A. Priske F
29 S. Haarala F
20 T. Nguen F
Bench (6)
32 I. Alemayehu
3 M. Danielson
38 M. Vučenović Persson
37 C. Selfvén
36 A. Atlee Manneh
40 M. Croon

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.