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Conference League
Referee: G Nyberg
Fiorentina
U S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Betis
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/15 matches
Win Ø 53%
46%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
77%
47%
Both score Ø 63%
85%
40%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,84 xG 2,72
56% Possession 44%
23 Shots 28
7 Shots on target 10
8 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 19
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. May -25 Betis – Fiorentina 2–1

Match report

Fiorentina Betis
30′
⚽ Antony 0–1
1–1 R. Gosens ⚽
R. Mandragora
34′
2–1 R. Gosens ⚽
Y. Adli
42′
Dodô 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Pablo Fornals
Half-time 2–1
A. Richardson 🔁
↦ Y. Adli
46′
58′
🔁 A. Ezzalzouli
↦ G. Lo Celso
58′
🔁 N. Mendy
↦ Marc Bartra
Marin Pongračić 🟨
77′
Amir Richardson 🟨
77′
Moise Kean 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Natan
Nicolò Fagioli 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 Héctor Bellerín
↦ Y. Sabaly
M. Folorunsho 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
88′
90′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Pablo Fornals
90′
🔁 Sergi Altimira
↦ C. Bakambu
L. Beltrán 🔁
↦ A. Guðmundsson
95′
F. Parisi 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
95′
97′
⚽ A. Ezzalzouli 2–2
Antony
Luca Ranieri 🟨
99′
99′
🟨 Aitor Ruibal
A. Colpani 🔁
↦ Dodô
105′
N. Zaniolo 🔁
↦ M. Pongračić
105′
Michael Folorunsho 🟨
110′
114′
🔁 Pablo García
↦ Héctor Bellerín
123′
🟨 Francisco Vieites
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-5-1-1
43 David de Gea G
5 M. Pongračić D
15 P. Comuzzo D
6 L. Ranieri D
2 Dodô M
8 R. Mandragora M
29 Y. Adli M
44 N. Fagioli M
21 R. Gosens M
10 A. Guðmundsson F
20 M. Kean F
Bench (10)
24 A. Richardson
90 M. Folorunsho
9 L. Beltrán
65 F. Parisi
23 A. Colpani
17 N. Zaniolo
22 M. Moreno
30 T. Martinelli
63 M. Caprini
1 P. Terracciano

Coach: R. Palladino

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 Fran Vieites G
23 Y. Sabaly D
5 Marc Bartra D
6 Natan D
12 R. Rodríguez D
4 J. Cardoso M
20 G. Lo Celso M
7 Antony M
22 Isco M
18 Pablo Fornals M
11 C. Bakambu F
Bench (10)
10 A. Ezzalzouli
32 N. Mendy
2 Héctor Bellerín
24 Aitor Ruibal
16 Sergi Altimira
52 Pablo García
36 Jesús Rodríguez
13 Adrián
30 Germán García
15 R. Perraud

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.