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Conference League
Referee: Daniel Schlager
Paks
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Polessya
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paks Polessya
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 39%
17%
60%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,4
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -25 Polessya – Paks 3–0

Match report

Paks Polessya
Milán Szekszárdi 🟨
8′
19′
🟨 Danylo Beskorovaynyi
37′
🟨 Mykyta Kravchenko
1–0 J. Szabo ⚽
B. Toth
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 B. Toth ⚽
D. Bode
49′
T. Yosefi 🔁
↦ B. Lednev
56′
S. Chobotenko 🔁
↦ D. Beskorovaynyi
56′
M. Gayduchyk 🔁
↦ O. Filippov
56′
69′
🔁 J. Hahn
↦ D. Bode
69′
🔁 K. Papp
↦ Z. Haraszti
79′
🔁 M. Peto
↦ J. Windecker
79′
🔁 B. Lenzser
↦ M. Szekszardi
80′
🟨 Yevgen Volynets
87′
🔁 A. Osvath
↦ K. Hinora
Attila Osváth 🟨
89′
A. Goncalves 🔁
↦ O. Nazarenko
89′
90′
⚽ Talles Costa 2–1
Talles Costa 🔁
↦ O. Andriyevski
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paks

3-4-1-2
23 Y. Volynets
4 M. Kravchenko
5 E. Sarapiy
13 D. Beskorovaynyi
55 B. Krushynskyi
18 O. Andriyevski
8 R. Babenko
30 B. Lednev
11 O. Gutsulyak
9 O. Filippov
7 O. Nazarenko
Bench (9)
99 V. Uliganets
2 A. Hadroj
6 Talles Costa
10 T. Yosefi
40 A. Goncalves
44 S. Chobotenko
50 Y. Mykytyuk
60 M. Melnychenko
89 M. Gayduchyk

Coach: György Bognár

Polessya

4-3-3
1 A. Kovacsik
26 M. Szekszardi
2 A. Kinyik
30 J. Szabo
17 K. Hinora
22 J. Windecker
5 B. Vecsei
20 M. Zeke
10 Z. Haraszti
13 D. Bode
29 B. Toth
Bench (12)
25 B. Simon
3 A. Debreceni
9 J. Hahn
11 A. Osvath
14 E. Silye
15 A. Szendrei
18 G. Gyurkits
19 K. Horvath
21 K. Papp
23 M. Peto
24 B. Lenzser
27 J. Galambos

Coach: Ruslan Rotan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Schlager · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.