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Europa League
Referee: Julian Weinberger
Midtjylland
S S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Fredrikstad
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -25 Fredrikstad – Midtjylland 1–3

Match report

Midtjylland Fredrikstad
1–0 M. Bech Sorensen ⚽
9′
2–0 Paulinho ⚽
M. Gogorza
17′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 E. Holten
↦ J. Bjartalid
46′
🔁 R. R. Shein
↦ S. Rafn
58′
🔁 S. Sorlokk
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
Lee Han-Beom 🔁
↦ M. Erlic
59′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ A. Buksa
59′
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ Franculino
60′
70′
🔁 D. Eid
↦ S. Owusu
Dani Silva 🔁
↦ P. Bravo
75′
78′
🔁 E. Granaas
↦ L. Owusu
D. Osorio 🔁
↦ M. Gogorza
78′
Adam Gabriel 🟨
85′
89′
🟨 Stian Stray Molde
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Olafsson
13 A. Gabriel
6 M. Erlic
22 M. Bech Sorensen
29 Paulinho
58 A. Simsir
19 P. Bravo
21 D. Castillo
41 M. Gogorza
9 A. Buksa
7 Franculino
Bench (12)
1 J. Lossl
31 L. Selin
3 Lee Han-Beom
10 Cho Gue-Sung
11 D. Osorio
14 E. Chilufya
20 V. Byskov
43 K. Mbabu
55 V. Bak
74 Junior Brumado
80 Dani Silva
90 F. Etim

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Fredrikstad

3-5-2
77 M. Borsheim
28 S. Owusu
12 U. Fredriksen
22 M. Woledzi
5 S. Rafn
11 P. Metcalfe
6 L. Owusu
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger
4 S. Molde
23 H. Skogvold
14 J. Bjartalid
Bench (12)
1 O. Ovretveit
25 O. Langbraten
2 K. Okpaleke
3 B. Skaret
9 E. Holten
13 S. Sorlokk
16 D. Eid
17 S. Kvile
18 L. Begby
19 R. R. Shein
31 E. Solberg
40 E. Granaas

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.