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Conference League
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Celje
S U U T S
2–4
Full-time
Lugano
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
5,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
-5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celje Lugano
13′
A. Grgic 0–1
1–1 F. Kovacevic
M. Kvesic
22′
Half-time 1–1
Z. Brault-Guillard 🔁
↦ D. Kelvin
46′
D. Dos Santos 🔁
↦ A. Duville-Parsemain
55′
58′
🟨 Renato Steffen
Žan Karničnik 🟨
59′
62′
🟨 Anto Grgić
H. Mahou 🔁
↦ E. Pihlstrom
64′
U. Bislimi 🔁
↦ M. Belhadj
64′
2–1 M. Kvesic
M. Avdyli
67′
69′
A. Papadopoulos 2–2
70′
🔁 P. Daniel
↦ Z. Karnicnik
70′
🔁 M. Boben
↦ Juanjo Nieto
74′
🟨 Uran Bislimi
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ G. Koutsias
78′
78′
🔁 A. Chidi
↦ D. Sturm
78′
🔁 I. Vidovic
↦ N. Iosifov
81′
R. Steffen 2–3
D. Dos Santos
82′
🔁 D. Hrka
↦ M. Kvesic
85′
E. Alioski 2–4
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Celje

3-4-3
1 A. Saipi
4 D. Kelvin
6 A. Papadopoulos
22 A. El Wafi
7 E. Alioski
11 R. Steffen
8 A. Grgic
29 M. Belhadj
24 E. Pihlstrom
97 A. Duville-Parsemain
9 G. Koutsias
Bench (10)
99 D. Mina
15 F. Pseftis
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
5 A. Hajdari
18 H. Mahou
20 O. Doumbia
21 Y. Cimignani
25 U. Bislimi
27 D. Dos Santos
91 K. Behrens

Coach: Albert Riera Ortega

Lugano

3-5-1-1
1 Z. Leban
2 Juanjo Nieto
23 Z. Karnicnik
3 D. Vuklisevic
6 A. Tutyskinas
19 M. Zabukovnik
8 M. Kvesic
11 M. Avdyli
20 N. Iosifov
10 D. Sturm
9 F. Kovacevic
Bench (10)
12 L. Kolar
4 D. Hrka
5 G. Vodeb
7 F. Jevsenak
13 P. Daniel
14 A. Chidi
16 I. Vidovic
38 Z. Zuzek
42 M. Boben
44 L. Bejger

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.