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Conference League
Referee: Paweł Raczkowski
Beitar Jerusalem
U T S S T
3–1
Full-time
Riga
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beitar Jerusalem Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
80%
83%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -25 Riga – Beitar Jerusalem 3–0

Match report

Beitar Jerusalem Riga
1–0 O. Atzili ⚽
L. Yarin
6′
2–0 T. Muzie ⚽
A. Yona
24′
Arial Mendy 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–0
Gil Cohen 🟨
57′
58′
🟨 Reginaldo Ramires
N. Muzinga 🔁
↦ Iago Siqueira
58′
68′
🟨 Orlando Galo
69′
🔁 O. Dahan
↦ G. Cohen
70′
🟨 Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom
77′
🔁 Y. Shua
↦ L. Yarin
77′
🔁 Silva Kani
↦ T. Muzie
A. Contreras 🔁
↦ M. Diop
80′
M. Regza 🔁
↦ Reginaldo Ramires
80′
85′
🔁 Z. Ben Shimol
↦ A. Yona
85′
🔁 D. Hugi
↦ J. Kalu
86′
⚽ A. Contreras 2–1
J. Grimaldo
G. Mankenda 🔁
↦ J. Grimaldo
89′
3–1 Silva Kani ⚽
D. Hugi
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem

4-3-3
1 K. Zviedris
13 R. Jurkovskis
21 B. Musah
34 A. Cernomordijs
3 M. Ngom
40 A. Ankrah
22 M. Diop
4 O. Galo
8 Iago Siqueira
20 J. Grimaldo
10 Reginaldo Ramires
Bench (10)
12 K. Zommers
44 M. Kazainis
5 K. Wassom
9 A. Contreras
11 B. Pena
18 M. Regza
19 A. Taiwo
25 N. Muzinga
27 E. Birka
77 G. Mankenda

Coach: Barak Itzhaki

Riga

4-1-4-1
55 Miguel Silva
2 Z. Zasno
4 B. Carabali
5 G. Cohen
29 A. Mendy
10 A. Yona
42 A. Tavares
8 L. Yarin
77 O. Atzili
9 J. Kalu
11 T. Muzie
Bench (12)
1 A. Korenfine
22 Y. Ozer
6 Z. Ben Shimol
7 Y. Shua
12 N. Dabush
16 Y. Cohen
20 O. Dahan
21 N. Markovitch
24 D. Hugi
26 Silva Kani
36 A. Zargary
44 L. Deri

Coach: Adrián Gul'a

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Paweł Raczkowski · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.