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Conference League
Referee: Antoni Bandić
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Differdange 03
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Differdange 03
Til Mavretič 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
L. Jakobi 🔁
↦ R. Camara
46′
59′
🟨 Juan Bedouret
65′
🔁 E. Agyiri
↦ Joao Pedro
A. Abreu 🔁
↦ J. Bedouret
72′
L. Rauch 🔁
↦ R. Pinto
72′
73′
🔁 T. Tammik
↦ M. Ainsalu
73′
🔁 R. Kirss
↦ M. Roosnupp
A. Buch 🔁
↦ B. Mfoumou
81′
A. El Idrissi 🔁
↦ G. Franzoni
81′
84′
🔁 B. Tambedou
↦ R. Musaba
89′
A. Buch 0–1
S. Hadji
1–1 B. Tambedou
92′
98′
🔁 Kaua Davi
↦ E. Tur
Victory Iboro 🟨
103′
105′
A. Buch 1–2
D. Lempereur
Victory Iboro 🟨
107′
Victory Iboro 🟥
107′
112′
🟨 Adham El Idrissi
Carlos Torres 🟨
114′
119′
S. Hadji 1–3
120′
🟨 Samir Hadji
J. P. Gomes Ricciulli 🔁
↦ T. Brusco
122′
125′
🟨 Felipe
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

FC Levadia Tallinn

84 Felipe
4 K. D'Anzico
5 T. Brusco
14 J. Bedouret
25 G. Franzoni
58 R. Camara
55 Leandro Borges
32 D. Lempereur
20 R. Pinto
23 S. Hadji
7 B. Mfoumou
Bench (12)
1 E. Da Costa
22 A. Van Buggenhout
9 A. Buch
10 A. Abreu
17 M. Soares Delgado
21 L. Rauch
26 F. Mendes
28 E. Pacheco
34 A. El Idrissi
39 L. Jakobi
66 J. P. Gomes Ricciulli
88 P. Mendes Alves

FC Differdange 03

3-4-3
99 K. Vallner
7 E. Tur
35 V. Iboro
6 R. Peetson
2 M. Schjonning-Larsen
11 M. Ainsalu
15 T. Mavretic
28 C. Torres
36 Joao Pedro
19 R. Musaba
5 M. Roosnupp
Bench (11)
1 O. Ani
4 T. Tammik
9 B. Tambedou
14 E. Agyiri
17 R. Kirss
23 F. Liivak
24 A. Zakarlyuka
25 K. Kallaste
41 M. Skvortsov
71 Kaua Davi
77 Wendell

Coach: Maurice Spitoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.