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Conference League
Referee: R Hensgens
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Tbilisi FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Dinamo Tbilisi FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–0 N. Kurdic
14′
2–0 Leo Santos
26′
3–0 N. Ugrekhelidze
30′
36′
🟨 Dominik Franke
44′
🟨 Danny Koy Lupano
Half-time 3–0
K. Kakashvili 🔁
↦ B. Osei
63′
L. Kharabadze 🔁
↦ T. Kvaratskhelia
68′
68′
🔁 M. Capan
↦ I. Lytvynenko
68′
🔁 M. Vareika
↦ N. Petkovic
74′
🟨 Marko Capan
M. Vatsadze 🔁
↦ A. Kalandadze
79′
79′
🔁 N. Mihajlovic
↦ P. Golubickas
79′
🔁 S. Mamatsashvili
↦ D. Franke
N. Tkalia 🔁
↦ M. Do Couto
80′
L. Tsikolia 🔁
↦ P. Psaltis
80′
89′
🔁 G. Jarusevicius
↦ B. Teixeira
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dinamo Tbilisi

4-2-3-1
1 G. Loria G
17 P. Psaltis D
27 N. Kurdic D
4 N. Ugrekhelidze D
3 A. Kalandadze D
24 B. Osei M
22 N. Ninua M
6 Leo Santos
14 M. Do Couto M
18 T. Kvaratskhelia F
12 A. Bah F
Bench (12)
37 M. Makatsaria
11 M. Vatsadze
16 N. Tkalia
21 D. Kvartskhava
23 J. Kankava
26 G. Gogua
28 R. Aleksidze
29 R. Danelia
31 L. Kharabadze
32 L. Tsikolia
33 L. Houri
39 K. Kakashvili

Coach: Vladimer Kakashvili

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-2-3-1
12 V. Sarkauskas
18 D. Sesplaukis M
4 D. Koy Lupano
15 P. Bosancic D
21 D. Franke D
20 I. Lytvynenko M
77 Y. Kendysh D
10 P. Golubickas M
19 S. Bilenkyi F
70 B. Teixeira M
11 N. Petkovic F
Bench (12)
1 C. Olses
5 G. Turda
6 M. Capan
7 N. Mihajlovic
8 L. Antal
9 G. Jarusevicius
13 K. Upstas
14 M. Setkus
22 O. Verbickas
23 S. Mamatsashvili
27 M. Vareika
29 K. Bicka

Coach: Andrius Skerla

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hensgens · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.