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Europa League
Referee: Daniele Chiffi
Qarabag
T T T S S
0–0
Full-time
CSKA Sofia
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag CSKA Sofia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag CSKA Sofia
35′
🟨 Leandro Godoy
Marko Janković 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
R. Cephas 🔁
↦ M. Jankovic
56′
E. Cafarquliyev 🔁
↦ B. Langa
56′
73′
🔁 J. Zwarts
↦ L. Godoy
73′
🔁 I. Solet
↦ M. Ebong
J. Mouaddib 🔁
↦ O. Kashchuk
74′
C. Makreckis 🔁
↦ B. Huseynov
74′
77′
🟨 Facundo Rodríguez
J. Montiel 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
78′
84′
🔁 T. Ouorou
↦ A. Martino
91′
🔁 M. Brahimi
↦ Pastor
91′
🔁 P. Panayotov
↦ S. Sensi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
55 B. Huseynov D
4 B. Varkonyi D
5 B. Langa D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
21 O. Kashchuk M
20 Kady Borges M
10 A. Zoubir
11 Z. Sawo F
Bench (11)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
23 M. Zlomislic
7 J. Mouaddib
9 J. Montiel
13 B. Mustafazada
22 M. Qurbanly
25 C. Makreckis
29 R. Cephas
32 H. Cabrayilzada
44 E. Cafarquliyev
49 A. Bashirov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

CSKA Sofia

4-4-2
21 F. Lapoukhov G
2 Pastor D
32 F. Rodriguez D
14 T. Ivanov D
17 A. Martino D
7 M. Ebong M
5 J. Gbamin D
6 B. Jordao M
8 S. Sensi M
9 L. Godoy F
28 I. Pittas F
Bench (12)
25 D. Evtimov
3 T. Ouorou
10 J. Zwarts
11 M. Brahimi
19 A. Yordanov
30 P. Panayotov
34 V. Kaymakanov
38 Leo Pereira
77 A. Piedrahita
80 G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
91 A. Tunchev
94 I. Solet

Coach: Hristo Yanev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniele Chiffi · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.