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Referee: J Munuera
HNK Rijeka
U S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Derry City
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Derry City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

HNK Rijeka Derry City
Ante Oreč 🟨
7′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Fruk ⚽
B. Pavic
52′
Daniel Adu-Adjei 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 A. O'Reilly
↦ N. Twisk
62′
🔁 J. Clarke
↦ L. Boyce
62′
🔁 C. Dummigan
↦ J. Stott
A. Juric 🔁
↦ D. Adu Adjei
70′
75′
🔁 C. Barr
↦ B. Lyons-Foster
G. Rukavina 🔁
↦ A. Gojak
80′
80′
🔁 D. Burns
↦ J. Olayinka
J. Lasickas 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
99 A. Todorovic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
5 A. Barco M
34 M. Devetak D
6 B. Pavic M
26 T. Dantas M
14 A. Gojak M
10 T. Fruk M
4 N. Jankovic M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (12)
1 V. Kovac
31 D. Nwolokor
3 M. Zivkovic
11 G. Rukavina
15 G. Grulovic
19 S. Vignato
23 J. Lasickas
30 S. Cletus
37 C. Saho
51 A. Husic
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Matjaz Kek

Derry City

4-1-4-1
1 B. Maher G
24 B. Lyons-Foster D
4 J. Stott D
3 P. McClean D
19 B. Fleming M
17 N. Twisk M
2 B. Cotter M
28 J. Olayinka M
14 E. Chapman M
7 M. Duffy M
27 L. Boyce F
Bench (11)
13 T. Norcott
6 R. Slevin
8 A. O'Reilly
12 D. Burns
15 J. Clarke
16 J. McClean
22 C. Barr
23 C. Dummigan
25 C. Grogan
32 T. Doherty
35 L. Kelly

Coach: Tiernan Lynch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Munuera · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.