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Conference League
Referee: A Madley
ML Vitebsk
T T S S T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ML Vitebsk Borac Banja Luka
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

ML Vitebsk Borac Banja Luka
Aleksandar Mesarović 🟨
16′
Valeriy Bocherov 🟨
41′
1–0 D. Cleonise
Z. Volkov
45′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🟨 Viktor Rogan
66′
🔁 A. Hiros
↦ A. Roguljic
70′
🟨 Amer Hiroš
B. Diabate 🔁
↦ D. Cleonise
75′
76′
🔁 D. Vukovic
↦ S. Savic
79′
🟨 Bart Meijers
Y. Skibskiy 🔁
↦ S. Balanovich
79′
V. Zhuk 🔁
↦ I. Moskalenchik
87′
91′
🔁 N. Jaksic
↦ V. Rogan
91′
🔁 M. Deket
↦ S. Ogrinec
103′
M. Deket 1–1
A. Hiros
S. Gnaka 🔁
↦ A. Mesarovic
106′
113′
🔁 A. Pascual
↦ D. Hrelja
N. Baranok 🔁
↦ R. Bosic
114′
115′
🟨 Nemanja Jakšić
117′
🟨 Damir Hrelja
2–1 A. Kontsevoy
120′
123′
🔁 S. Vranjes
↦ L. Juricic
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

ML Vitebsk

4-3-3
1 P. Pavlyuchenko G
23 S. Balanovich M
20 Z. Volkov D
6 K. Gomanov D
45 I. Moskalenchik D
27 A. Mesarovic M
15 V. Bocherov M
55 V. Gromyko M
12 R. Bosic M
80 A. Kontsevoy M
10 D. Cleonise M
Bench (9)
30 P. Shcherbachenya
46 D. Kotau
3 N. Baranok
7 T. Ivanov
8 S. Gnaka
9 B. Diabate
18 V. Zhuk
22 Y. Skibskiy
99 M. Bulanov

Coach: Mikhail Martinovich

Borac Banja Luka

4-3-3
72 M. Jurkas G
16 S. Herrera D
2 B. Meijers D
24 J. Carolina D
19 V. Rogan D
18 M. Jojic M
44 A. Roguljic M
98 S. Ogrinec M
11 D. Hrelja M
7 L. Juricic F
77 S. Savic M
Bench (12)
1 D. Siskovski
3 A. Pascual
6 S. Sanicanin
10 D. Vukovic
12 A. Hiros
14 P. Djajic
20 E. Ridjan
23 S. Vranjes
30 N. Jaksic
47 A. Milak
89 M. Deket
99 D. Romera

Coach: Vinko Marinovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.