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Conference League
Referee: G Nuza
Ilves
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ilves HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
20%
0%
Both score Ø 10%
20%
0%
Average goals
1,4
1,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,6
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -26 HNK Rijeka – Ilves 1–0

Match report

Ilves HNK Rijeka
Half-time 0–0
S. Baranov 🔁
↦ S. Suvanne
59′
1–0 S. Baranov ⚽
T. Hytonen
64′
Y. Sacko 🔁
↦ Y. Raap
67′
70′
⚽ J. Lasickas 1–1
71′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ J. Lasickas
R. Riski 🔁
↦ T. Hytonen
81′
H. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Popovitch
81′
G. Bamba 🔁
↦ V. Kumpu
81′
84′
🔁 I. Cubelic
↦ J. Puljic
87′
🟨 Mladen Devetak
90′
🔁 A. Juric
↦ D. Adu Adjei
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ilves

4-3-3
12 F. Krkalic G
4 O. Pettersson
5 S. Vaisanen D
24 V. Kumpu D
3 M. Rale D
22 O. Multala M
14 A. Popovitch M
6 Y. Raap D
30 J. Kanga M
9 T. Hytonen F
25 S. Suvanne D
Bench (12)
1 O. Virtanen
8 M. Stjopin
10 R. Riski
11 H. Coulibaly
13 K. Wallius
15 L. Ala-Myllymaki
17 S. Baranov
19 G. Bamba
28 J. Kilo
33 Y. Sacko
45 E. Tamminen
16 T. Miettunen

Coach: Camilo Speranza

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
99 A. Todorovic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
5 A. Barco M
34 M. Devetak D
26 T. Dantas M
6 B. Pavic M
23 J. Lasickas D
21 J. Puljic F
4 N. Jankovic M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (12)
1 V. Kovac
13 I. Vekic
3 M. Zivkovic
8 I. Cubelic
10 T. Fruk
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
15 G. Grulovic
37 C. Saho
51 A. Husic
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Matjaz Kek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nuza · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.