Conference League
Referee: R Hennessey
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
NSI Runavik
Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
3,2
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
20%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
40%
Possession
60%
6
Shots
18
4
Shots on target
9
1
Blocked shots
3
8
Goalkeeper saves
2
5
Corners
3
0
Offside
1
14
Free kicks against
14
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
Recent head-to-head meetings
6. Aug -26 Lugano – NSI Runavik 2–0Match report
NSI Runavik
Lugano
1–0 P. Knudsen
⚽
S. Skytte
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Lindh
⚽
P. Knudsen
🔁
M. Zanotti
↦ D. Dos Santos
⚽
Y. Cimignani
2–1
M. Zanotti
A. F. Elisson
🔁
↦ M. Lindh
K. Olsen
🔁
↦ B. Nolsoe
⚽
K. Behrens
2–2
R. Steffen
Emil Joensen
🟨
T. Hestad
🔁
↦ M. Przybylski
M. Danielsen
🔁
↦ J. Benjaminsen
🔁
A. Kendouci
↦ R. Steffen
🔁
D. Moncada
↦ E. Pihlstrom
Full-time 2–2
Line-ups
NSI Runavik
4-4-2
13
T. Amos
G
17
J. Benjaminsen
D
4
D. Obbekjaer
D
3
V. Davidsen
D
12
F. Drinic
D
11
M. Lindh
M
29
E. W. Joensen
M
6
B. Nolsoe
M
16
P. Knudsen
M
2
S. Skytte
33
M. Przybylski
F
Bench (7)
1
K. Joensen
30
D. Danielsen
5
A. F. Elisson
22
J. Trondargjogv
10
K. Olsen
9
T. Hestad
28
M. Danielsen
Coach: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson
Lugano
3-4-1-2
16
D. von Ballmoos
G
D. von Ballmoos
G
6
A. Papadopoulos
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
17
L. Mai
D
L. Mai
D
18
J. Bichsel
D
J. Bichsel
D
21
Y. Cimignani
M
Y. Cimignani
M
25
U. Bislimi
M
U. Bislimi
M
8
A. Grgic
M
A. Grgic
M
24
E. Pihlstrom
M
E. Pihlstrom
M
27
D. Dos Santos
F
D. Dos Santos
F
11
R. Steffen
F
R. Steffen
F
91
K. Behrens
F
K. Behrens
F
Bench (10)
28
F. Gebhardt
39
C. Ndiaye
46
M. Zanotti
4
D. Kelvin
3
H. Delcroix
44
Carbone
23
G. Ajdin
14
A. Kendouci
22
B. D. Castro Espinosa
30
D. Moncada
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
6. Aug
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1 month ago
Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
0
1–
X–
2–
−2,5
BLS
T
30. Jul
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1 month ago
Koper
NSI Runavik
0
2
1–
X–
2–
−2,5
BLS
S
23. Jul
ECL
1 month ago
NSI Runavik
Koper
0
2
1–
X–
2–
−2,5
BLS
T
16. Jul
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2 months ago
Hamrun Spartans
NSI Runavik
1
2
1–
X–
2–
+2,5
BLS
S
9. Jul
ECL
2 months ago
NSI Runavik
Hamrun Spartans
1
1
1–
X–
2–
−2,5
BLS
U
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.