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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Shamrock Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Shamrock Rovers
1–0 D. Adjessa
I. Gruda
4′
2–0 A. Albanese
Fernando Medeiros
11′
3–0 I. Gruda
20′
E. Ndreca 🟨
24′
4–0 D. Adjessa
Fernando Medeiros
38′
Half-time 4–0
Z. Aliyev 🔁
↦ I. Gruda
46′
46′
🔁 L. Grace
↦ T. Sobowale
46′
🔁 J. Afolabi
↦ A. Greene
E. Ndreca 🟨
48′
E. Ndreca 🟥
48′
54′
🟨 E. Stevens
A. Albanese 🟨
54′
5–0 A. Albanese
Fernando Medeiros
58′
64′
🔁 M. Asamoah
↦ J. Mulraney
J. Montenegro 🔁
↦ D. Adjessa
68′
A. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ K. Loukili
70′
70′
🔁 D. Mandroiu
↦ E. Stevens
Z. Aliyev 🟨
71′
74′
G. Burke 5–1
G. Smajli 🔁
↦ G. Jaime
80′
N. Ajetovikj 🔁
↦ Fernando Medeiros
85′
E. Sota 🟨
88′
93′
🟨 M. Healy
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

98 M. Dajsinani
28 E. Sota
33 E. Bitri
6 A. Aleksi
22 G. Jaime
20 K. Loukili
7 Fernando Medeiros
10 A. Albanese
16 E. Ndreca
2 D. Adjessa
77 I. Gruda
Bench (10)
1 L. Tandilashvili
12 B. Puja
4 Z. Aliyev
8 I. Diabate
13 A. Kacbufi
17 A. Kryeziu
24 N. Ajetovikj
29 A. Yago
55 G. Smajli
99 J. Montenegro

Coach: Nevil Dede

Shamrock Rovers

1 E. McGinty
22 T. Sobowale
4 R. Lopes
3 E. Stevens
11 J. Mulraney
7 D. Watts
8 M. Healy
29 J. Byrne
24 W. Fitzgerald
10 G. Burke
9 A. Greene
Bench (12)
25 L. Steacy
41 A. Noonan
5 L. Grace
14 D. Mandroiu
15 M. Asamoah
17 L. O'Regan
18 J. Afolabi
19 A. Brennan
26 J. O'Sullivan
27 C. O'Sullivan
31 M. Noonan
34 B. Mahon

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.