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Conference League
Referee: M Ocenas
Motherwell
S S S U U
2–0
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -26 HJK Helsinki – Motherwell 1–1

Match report

Motherwell HJK Helsinki
43′
🟨 Alfie Cicale
Half-time 1–0
1–0 I. Said ⚽
A. Lowry
47′
57′
🟨 Alexander Ring
O. Whyte 🔁
↦ O. Priestman
59′
2–0 I. Said ⚽
A. Lowry
60′
J. Knight-Lebel 🔁
↦ J. Koutroumbis
65′
W. Vogt 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
65′
68′
🔁 T. Cissokho
↦ V. Tikkanen
68′
🔁 M. Kirilov
↦ M. Borchers
68′
🔁 T. Pukki
↦ S. Haarala
75′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ A. Ring
E. Wilson 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
78′
M. Booth 🔁
↦ T. Maswanhise
78′
79′
🔁 L. Lappalainen
↦ A. Cicale
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paulsen G
22 J. Koutroumbis D
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
5 M. Moormann D
45 E. Longelo D
8 L. Fadinger M
12 O. Priestman M
11 A. Lowry M
17 R. Charles-Cook F
19 I. Said M
18 T. Maswanhise F
Bench (12)
4 J. Knight-Lebel
21 Matty Connelly
23 E. Wilson
24 L. Ross
25 O. Whyte
27 M. Booth
29 Z. McAllister
31 J. McConnell
32 R. Hunter
36 L. Weir
77 W. Vogt
34 A. Thomson

Coach: Alfred Johansson

HJK Helsinki

4-2-3-1
44 M. Markovic G
5 A. Nallo D
6 V. Tikkanen D
14 L. Montano D
13 K. Simojoki D
18 T. Mero M
8 P. Mentu M
29 S. Haarala F
4 A. Ring M
7 A. Cicale M
9 M. Borchers F
Bench (10)
1 J. Ost
3 T. Cissokho
10 L. Lingman
12 M. Haapanen
15 J. Kallinen
17 M. Kirilov
20 T. Pukki
26 L. Lappalainen
28 M. Ylitolva
32 M. Gueye

Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Ocenas · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.