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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Molde
T S S S U
5–1
Full-time
Brann
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 59%
53%
65%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
71%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 4. · Brann 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 17 11 5 1 +15 38
2 Rosenborg 17 11 3 3 +17 36
3 Haugesund 17 9 4 4 +8 31
4 Molde 17 9 3 5 +14 30
5 Sarpsborg 08 17 8 5 4 +12 29
6 Ranheim 17 9 2 6 -2 29
7 Tromso 18 8 2 8 +4 26
8 Kristiansund 17 6 6 5 +2 24
9 Valerenga 17 6 6 5 -6 24
10 Odd 17 6 3 8 +3 21
11 Stromsgodset 17 5 5 7 +3 20
12 Bodo/Glimt 17 3 7 7 -6 16
13 Lillestrom 17 3 6 8 -9 15
14 Stabaek 17 3 5 9 -14 14
15 Start 17 4 2 11 -20 14
16 Sandefjord 18 2 4 12 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Brann
2′
🟨 Samuel Radlinger-Sahin
1–0 E. Håland
3′
2–0 P. Cibicki
B. Sarr
20′
3–0 F. Aursnes
P. Cibicki
25′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ A. Ordagić
46′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ L. Marengo
47′
S. Skålevik 3–1
V. Wormgoor
Pawel Cibicki 🟨
47′
Vegard Forren 🟨
50′
51′
🟨 Fredrik Haugen
P. Strand 🔁
↦ P. Cibicki
56′
4–1 F. Aursnes
E. Håland
69′
L. James 🔁
↦ E. Håland
73′
M. Eikrem 🔁
↦ E. Hussain
74′
5–1 K. Haugen
E. Hestad
78′
86′
🔁 M. Bildöy
↦ S. Skålevik
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
24 P. Cibicki M
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
14 P. Strand
10 L. James
7 M. Eikrem
2 I. Ssewankambo
6 S. Gregersen
9 M. Mostrøm
26 M. Ranmark

Coach: O. Solskjær

Brann

4-3-3
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
2 T. Teniste D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
8 F. Haugen M
29 K. Barmen M
10 A. Ordagić M
14 L. Marengo F
11 S. Skålevik F
22 G. Koomson F
Bench (6)
7 P. Larsen
27 H. Johansen
34 M. Bildöy
12 M. Pettersen
18 A. Karadas
35 N. Marthinussen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.