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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Paris SG

S U U T U

3–0

Full-time

Caen

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%

11 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Nimes	1	1	0	+1	3
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Dijon	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Reims	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Angers	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Guingamp	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Montpellier	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Nice	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Rennes	1	0	1	-2	0
15	Nantes	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Bordeaux	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Toulouse	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	+2	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Angers	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Montpellier	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Nice	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Nantes	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Strasbourg	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Nimes	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Dijon	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Reims	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Guingamp	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Rennes	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Amiens	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.