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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Moreirense
U S T T T
1–3
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Feb -18 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 1–0 23. Sep -17 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 1–1 12. Feb -17 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 2–3 10. Sep -16 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 16. Apr -16 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–1

Match report

Moreirense Sp Lisbon
2′
🟨 Nani
1–0 Heriberto Tavares ⚽
João Aurélio
6′
13′
🟨 Bruno Fernandes
16′
⚽ Bruno Fernandes 1–1
S. Ristovski
João Aurélio 🟨
20′
28′
🟨 Radosav Petrović
Heriberto Tavares 🟨
30′
Neto 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Sebastián Coates
70′
🔁 Jovane Cabral
↦ M. Acuña
70′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ Nani
74′
⚽ B. Dost 1–2
Alan Schons 🔁
↦ M. Ndiaye
75′
76′
🟨 Jefferson
Nenê 🔁
↦ Pedro Nuno
81′
Arsénio 🔁
↦ Neto
81′
Alan Schons 🟨
84′
Nenê 🟨
90′
92′
⚽ B. Dost 1–3
Bruno Fernandes
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-4-2
18 Jhonatan G
5 Ruben Lima D
2 João Aurélio D
4 Iago Santos D
3 M. Aberhoune D
91 Neto M
10 B. Aouacheria M
27 Pedro Nuno M
22 Chiquinho M
31 M. Ndiaye M
73 Heriberto Tavares M
Bench (7)
8 Alan Schons
11 Nenê
77 Arsénio
37 Bruno Silva
88 Pedro Trigueira
82 A. D'Alberto
6 Fabio Pacheco

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
19 R. Salin G
22 J. Mathieu D
5 Jefferson D
4 S. Coates D
13 S. Ristovski D
25 R. Petrović M
16 R. Battaglia M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
17 Nani M
28 B. Dost F
9 M. Acuña M
Bench (7)
77 Jovane Cabral
21 Raphinha
27 J. Mišić
76 Bruno Gaspar
6 André Pinto
10 F. Montero
81 Luís Maximiano

Coach: José Peseiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.