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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Burnley
S U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Swansea
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Burnley Swansea
David Jones 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Jordi Amat
60′
🔁 G. Sigurðsson
↦ L. Britton
64′
🔁 J. Montero
↦ M. Barrow
Stephen Ward 🟨
67′
J. Guðmunds­son 🔁
↦ S. Arfield
75′
Matthew Lowton 🟨
80′
82′
⚽ L. Fer 0–1
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ D. Jones
87′
87′
🔁 Àngel Rangel
↦ W. Routledge
90′
🟨 Federico Fernández
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 T. Heaton G
23 S. Ward D
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 M. Keane D
14 D. Jones M
8 D. Marney M
37 S. Arfield M
21 G. Boyd M
9 S. Vokes F
7 A. Gray F
Bench (7)
25 J. Guðmunds­son
19 L. Jutkiewicz
11 M. Kightly
17 P. Robinson
20 F. Ulvestad
26 J. Tarkowski
27 T. Darikwa

Coach: S. Dyche

Swansea

4-3-3
1 Ł. Fabiański G
26 K. Naughton D
33 F. Fernández D
2 Jordi Amat D
35 S. Kingsley D
15 W. Routledge F
24 J. Cork M
8 L. Fer M
7 L. Britton M
9 Llorente F
17 M. Barrow F
Bench (7)
23 G. Sigurðsson
20 J. Montero
22 Àngel Rangel
5 M. van der Hoorn
12 N. Dyer
13 K. Nordfeldt
56 J. Fulton

Coach: F. Guidolin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.