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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Ajax

U S S U S

2–2

Full-time

Roda

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

73% Possession 27%

24 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 5. · Roda 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.