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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Arsenal
S U S U S
3–4
Full-time
Liverpool
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Man City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Hull 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Southampton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Everton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Tottenham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leicester 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Burnley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Jan -16 Liverpool – Arsenal 3–3 24. Aug -15 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0

Match report

Arsenal Liverpool
26′
🟨 Adam Lallana
29′
🟨 Alberto Moreno
1–0 T. Walcott ⚽
A. Iwobi
31′
Francis Coquelin 🟨
37′
41′
🟨 Dejan Lovren
Half-time 1–1
46′
⚽ Philippe Coutinho 1–1
49′
⚽ A. Lallana 1–2
G. Wijnaldum
56′
⚽ Philippe Coutinho 1–3
N. Clyne
Alex Iwobi 🟨
57′
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 🔁
↦ A. Iwobi
59′
Santi Cazorla 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
61′
63′
⚽ S. Mané 1–4
A. Lallana
2–4 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain ⚽
Santi Cazorla
64′
G. Xhaka 🔁
↦ Mohamed Elneny
67′
70′
🔁 E. Can
↦ Philippe Coutinho
3–4 C. Chambers ⚽
Santi Cazorla
75′
76′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ A. Lallana
Granit Xhaka 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 K. Stewart
↦ G. Wijnaldum
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
33 P. Čech G
18 Nacho Monreal D
21 C. Chambers D
24 Bellerín D
16 R. Holding D
34 F. Coquelin M
8 A. Ramsey M
35 Mohamed Elneny M
14 T. Walcott M
7 A. Sánchez F
17 A. Iwobi M
Bench (7)
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
19 Santi Cazorla
29 G. Xhaka
32 C. Akpom
3 K. Gibbs
13 D. Ospina
10 J. Wilshere

Coach: A. Wenger

Liverpool

4-3-3
22 S. Mignolet G
17 R. Klavan D
6 D. Lovren D
2 N. Clyne D
18 Alberto Moreno D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
20 A. Lallana M
14 J. Henderson M
10 Philippe Coutinho F
11 Roberto Firmino F
19 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
23 E. Can
27 D. Origi
35 K. Stewart
13 A. Manninger
66 T. Arnold
16 M. Grujić
32 J. Matip

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.