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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Vitoria Setubal
T T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Belenenses
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -16 Vitoria Setubal – Belenenses 0–1 5. Dec -15 Belenenses – Vitoria Setubal 0–3

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Belenenses
1–0 André Claro ⚽
10′
Zé Manuel 🟨
26′
45′
🟨 Gonçalo Brandão
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Frederico Venâncio ⚽
Zé Manuel
49′
54′
🟨 João Diogo
56′
🔁 K. Andrić
↦ Benny
M. Agu 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
59′
59′
🔁 Gerso Fernandes
↦ André Sousa
66′
🟨 João Diogo
66′
🟥 João Diogo
69′
🟨 Ruben Pinto
Nuno Pinto 🟨
72′
76′
🔁 Luís Silva
↦ Ruben Pinto
A. Issoko 🔁
↦ André Claro
79′
84′
🟨 Gerso Fernandes
A. Meyong 🔁
↦ Zé Manuel
87′
89′
🟨 Abel Camará
90′
🟨 João Palhinha
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-2-3-1
88 Pedro Trigueira G
13 Vasco Fernandes D
21 Nuno Pinto D
22 Geraldes D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
6 Fabio Pacheco M
8 Nenê Bonilha M
70 Zé Manuel M
18 André Claro F
11 Costinha M
10 Nuno Santos F
Bench (7)
14 M. Agu
7 A. Issoko
19 A. Meyong
23 Vasco Costa
24 João Amaral
1 L. Raeder
4 Fábio Cardoso

Coach: José Couceiro

Belenenses

4-4-2
24 Hugo Ventura G
28 Gonçalo Brandão D
2 João Diogo D
29 F. Hanin D
14 Domingos Duarte D
77 Ruben Pinto M
8 André Sousa M
66 João Palhinha M
21 Benny
7 Miguel Rosa M
30 Camará F
Bench (7)
95 K. Andrić
10 Gerso Fernandes
27 Luís Silva
12 André Moreira
76 Mica Pinto
74 Gonçalo Tavares
6 Oriol Rosell

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.