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Eredivisie

Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer

Heracles

T S U S U

3–1

Full-time

Willem II

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 14

10 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 12. · Willem II 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.