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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stromsgodset
T U U S U
2–3
Full-time
Mjondalen
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
5,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 5. · Mjondalen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Viking 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Odd 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Stromsgodset 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Lillestrom 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Brann 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Kristiansund 3 1 0 2 -1 3
9 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -3 3
11 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Haugesund 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Rosenborg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Stabaek 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Ranheim 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Mjondalen 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Mjondalen
9′
Johansen Solholm Sondre 0–1
Joackim Solberg
1–1 Lars Saetra
Lars Christopher Vilsvik
11′
19′
Stian Aasmundsen 1–2
Tonny Brochmann
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
28′
Stian Ringstad 🟨
33′
41′
Olivier Occean 1–3
Joackim Solberg
Half-time 1–3
Herman Stengel 🔁
↦ Stian Ringstad
46′
51′
🔁 Akeem Latifu
↦ Olivier Occean
61′
🟨 Joackim Solberg
2–3 Mostafa Abdellaoue
Marcus Pedersen
64′
70′
🔁 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
↦ Fredrik Brustad
Amahl Pellegrino 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Tokstad
73′
Amahl Pellegrino 🟨
80′
Johan Hove 🟨
84′
Lars Saetra 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Alfred Scriven
↦ Sondre Liseth
Mounir Hamoud 🔁
↦ Lars Saetra
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-2
1 Viljar Myhra G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
39 Lars Saetra D
3 Jonathan Parr D
11 Kristoffer Tokstad M
8 Johan Hove M
29 Yacouba Sylla M
25 Stian Ringstad D
10 Marcus Pedersen F
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
7 Herman Stengel
6 Henning Hauger
23 Martin Spelmann
2 Mounir Hamoud
90 Amahl Pellegrino
14 Nicholas Mickelson

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Mjondalen

4-3-3
12 Julian Faye Lund G
4 William Sell D
2 Quint Jansen D
23 Johansen Solholm Sondre D
6 Joackim Solberg M
33 Stian Aasmundsen M
11 Christian Gauseth F
7 Tonny Brochmann M
8 Fredrik Brustad F
10 Olivier Occean F
9 Sondre Liseth F
Bench (7)
32 Mathias Eriksen Ranmark
20 Akeem Latifu
3 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
15 Mathias Fredriksen
16 Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
31 Jibril Bojang
21 Alfred Scriven

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.