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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stromsgodset
T U U S U
2–3
Full-time
Mjondalen
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
5,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 5. · Mjondalen 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Viking 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Odd 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Stromsgodset 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Lillestrom 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Brann 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Kristiansund 3 1 0 2 -1 3
9 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -3 3
11 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Haugesund 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Rosenborg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Stabaek 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Ranheim 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Mjondalen 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Mjondalen
9′
⚽ Johansen Solholm Sondre 0–1
Joackim Solberg
1–1 Lars Saetra ⚽
Lars Christopher Vilsvik
11′
19′
⚽ Stian Aasmundsen 1–2
Tonny Brochmann
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
28′
Stian Ringstad 🟨
33′
41′
⚽ Olivier Occean 1–3
Joackim Solberg
Half-time 1–3
Herman Stengel 🔁
↦ Stian Ringstad
46′
51′
🔁 Akeem Latifu
↦ Olivier Occean
61′
🟨 Joackim Solberg
2–3 Mostafa Abdellaoue ⚽
Marcus Pedersen
64′
70′
🔁 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
↦ Fredrik Brustad
Amahl Pellegrino 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Tokstad
73′
Amahl Pellegrino 🟨
80′
Johan Hove 🟨
84′
Lars Saetra 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Alfred Scriven
↦ Sondre Liseth
Mounir Hamoud 🔁
↦ Lars Saetra
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-2
1 Viljar Myhra G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
39 Lars Saetra D
3 Jonathan Parr D
11 Kristoffer Tokstad M
8 Johan Hove M
29 Yacouba Sylla M
25 Stian Ringstad D
10 Marcus Pedersen F
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
7 Herman Stengel
6 Henning Hauger
23 Martin Spelmann
2 Mounir Hamoud
90 Amahl Pellegrino
14 Nicholas Mickelson

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Mjondalen

4-3-3
12 Julian Faye Lund G
4 William Sell D
2 Quint Jansen D
23 Johansen Solholm Sondre D
6 Joackim Solberg M
33 Stian Aasmundsen M
11 Christian Gauseth F
7 Tonny Brochmann M
8 Fredrik Brustad F
10 Olivier Occean F
9 Sondre Liseth F
Bench (7)
32 Mathias Eriksen Ranmark
20 Akeem Latifu
3 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
15 Mathias Fredriksen
16 Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
31 Jibril Bojang
21 Alfred Scriven

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.