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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Stromsgodset

S T T S T

2–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 23%

25%

21%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

5 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 12. · Lillestrom 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	28	18	6	4	+26	60
2	Brann	28	16	7	5	+15	55
3	Molde	28	16	5	7	+23	53
4	Haugesund	28	15	5	8	+12	50
5	Kristiansund	28	12	7	9	+5	43
6	Ranheim	28	12	6	10	-5	42
7	Odd	28	11	7	10	+5	40
8	Valerenga	28	10	8	10	-6	38
9	Sarpsborg 08	28	10	7	11	+5	37
10	Tromso	28	10	3	15	-6	33
11	Bodo/Glimt	28	6	12	10	-3	30
12	Stromsgodset	28	7	8	13	-2	29
13	Start	28	8	5	15	-21	29
14	Lillestrom	28	6	10	12	-12	28
15	Stabaek	28	5	10	13	-16	25
16	Sandefjord	28	4	10	14	-20	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	10	1	3	+21	31
2	Rosenborg	14	9	4	1	+18	31
3	Haugesund	14	9	2	3	+9	29
4	Brann	14	8	4	2	+12	28
5	Ranheim	14	8	4	2	+10	28
6	Odd	14	8	3	3	+14	27
7	Kristiansund	14	7	4	3	+8	25
8	Sarpsborg 08	14	7	2	5	+11	23
9	Tromso	14	7	2	5	+9	23
10	Valerenga	14	6	5	3	+3	23
11	Lillestrom	14	4	8	2	+2	20
12	Stabaek	14	5	5	4	+1	20
13	Start	14	6	2	6	-2	20
14	Stromsgodset	14	5	3	6	+7	18
15	Bodo/Glimt	14	4	5	5	+4	17
16	Sandefjord	14	3	4	7	-4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	9	2	3	+8	29
2	Brann	14	8	3	3	+3	27
3	Molde	14	6	4	4	+2	22
4	Haugesund	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	Kristiansund	14	5	3	6	-3	18
6	Valerenga	14	4	3	7	-9	15
7	Sarpsborg 08	14	3	5	6	-6	14
8	Ranheim	14	4	2	8	-15	14
9	Bodo/Glimt	14	2	7	5	-7	13
10	Odd	14	3	4	7	-9	13
11	Stromsgodset	14	2	5	7	-9	11
12	Tromso	14	3	1	10	-15	10
13	Sandefjord	14	1	6	7	-16	9
14	Start	14	2	3	9	-19	9
15	Lillestrom	14	2	2	10	-14	8
16	Stabaek	14	0	5	9	-17	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.