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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Swansea

T T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Everton

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 36%

26%

46%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

66%

51%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

51%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 5

5 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 18. · Everton 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	34	26	3	5	+43	81
2	Tottenham	35	23	8	4	+48	77
3	Man City	35	20	9	6	+33	69
4	Liverpool	35	20	9	6	+29	69
5	Man United	34	17	14	3	+26	65
6	Arsenal	33	18	6	9	+22	60
7	Everton	35	16	10	9	+20	58
8	West Brom	35	12	9	14	-4	45
9	Leicester	35	12	7	16	-9	43
10	Bournemouth	36	11	9	16	-13	42
11	West Ham	36	11	9	16	-14	42
12	Southampton	33	11	8	14	-5	41
13	Stoke	36	10	11	15	-13	41
14	Burnley	36	11	7	18	-14	40
15	Watford	35	11	7	17	-21	40
16	Crystal Palace	36	11	5	20	-15	38
17	Hull	36	9	7	20	-33	34
18	Swansea	35	9	5	21	-29	32
19	Middlesbrough	35	5	13	17	-19	28
20	Sunderland	35	6	6	23	-32	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	18	16	2	0	+37	50
2	Chelsea	16	14	0	2	+30	42
3	Everton	18	12	4	2	+25	40
4	Liverpool	17	11	4	2	+24	37
5	Arsenal	16	11	3	2	+17	36
6	Man City	17	9	7	1	+17	34
7	Leicester	17	10	3	4	+11	33
8	Burnley	18	10	3	5	+7	33
9	Man United	18	7	10	1	+12	31
10	West Brom	18	9	2	7	+6	29
11	Bournemouth	18	8	4	6	+5	28
12	Watford	18	8	4	6	+1	28
13	Hull	18	8	4	6	-1	28
14	Stoke	18	7	6	5	+3	27
15	West Ham	18	7	4	7	-8	25
16	Southampton	16	6	5	5	-1	23
17	Swansea	17	6	3	8	-9	21
18	Middlesbrough	18	4	6	8	-5	18
19	Crystal Palace	18	5	2	11	-5	17
20	Sunderland	18	3	5	10	-16	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	18	12	3	3	+13	39
2	Man City	18	11	2	5	+16	35
3	Man United	16	10	4	2	+14	34
4	Liverpool	18	9	5	4	+5	32
5	Tottenham	17	7	6	4	+11	27
6	Arsenal	17	7	3	7	+5	24
7	Crystal Palace	18	6	3	9	-10	21
8	Southampton	17	5	3	9	-4	18
9	Everton	17	4	6	7	-5	18
10	West Ham	18	4	5	9	-6	17
11	West Brom	17	3	7	7	-10	16
12	Stoke	18	3	5	10	-16	14
13	Bournemouth	18	3	5	10	-18	14
14	Watford	17	3	3	11	-22	12
15	Swansea	18	3	2	13	-20	11
16	Middlesbrough	17	1	7	9	-14	10
17	Sunderland	17	3	1	13	-16	10
18	Leicester	18	2	4	12	-20	10
19	Burnley	18	1	4	13	-21	7
20	Hull	18	1	3	14	-32	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.