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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Valeri
Juventus
U S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Torino
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 57%
79%
35%
Points per game
2,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
68%
Both score Ø 63%
47%
79%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Juventus 1. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 34 27 3 4 +48 84
2 Napoli 35 23 8 4 +45 77
3 Roma 34 24 3 7 +44 75
4 Lazio 34 20 7 7 +24 67
5 Atalanta 34 19 7 8 +19 64
6 Milan 34 17 8 9 +13 59
7 Inter 34 17 5 12 +20 56
8 Fiorentina 34 15 10 9 +8 55
9 Torino 34 12 13 9 +9 49
10 Sampdoria 34 12 10 12 +0 46
11 Udinese 34 12 7 15 -5 43
12 Chievo 34 12 5 17 -15 41
13 Cagliari 35 12 5 18 -19 41
14 Sassuolo 34 11 6 17 -8 39
15 Bologna 34 10 8 16 -14 38
16 Genoa 34 7 9 18 -26 30
17 Empoli 34 7 8 19 -31 29
18 Crotone 34 6 7 21 -25 25
19 Palermo 34 4 7 23 -44 19
20 Pescara 34 2 8 24 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Torino
13′
🟨 Emiliano Moretti
38′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
42′
🟨 Cristian Molinaro
Half-time 0–0
Kwadwo Asamoah 🟨
51′
52′
A. Ljajić 0–1
Paulo Dybala 🟨
53′
G. Higuaín 🔁
↦ S. Sturaro
56′
57′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
57′
🟥 Afriyie Acquah
63′
🔁 M. Benassi
↦ L. Boyé
M. Pjanić 🔁
↦ T. Rincón
69′
75′
🔁 J. Obi
↦ D. Baselli
Juan Cuadrado 🟨
76′
Alex Sandro 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
80′
83′
🔁 J. Iturbe
↦ Iago Falqué
1–1 G. Higuaín
M. Pjanić
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
25 Neto G
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
19 L. Bonucci D
4 M. Benatia D
6 S. Khedira M
22 K. Asamoah D
28 T. Rincón M
27 S. Sturaro M
17 M. Mandžukić F
7 J. Cuadrado M
21 P. Dybala F
Bench (12)
9 G. Higuaín
5 M. Pjanić
12 Alex Sandro
1 G. Buffon
3 G. Chiellini
8 C. Marchisio
14 F. Mattiello
15 A. Barzagli
18 M. Lemina
23 Dani Alves
32 E. Audero
38 R. Mandragora

Coach: M. Allegri

Torino

4-2-3-1
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
3 C. Molinaro D
13 L. Rossettini D
7 D. Zappacosta M
6 A. Acquah M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
31 L. Boyé F
Bench (12)
15 M. Benassi
22 J. Obi
19 J. Iturbe
1 D. Padelli
4 Leandro Castán
5 Carlão
11 M. López
16 Samuel Gustafson
18 M. Valdifiori
23 A. Barreca
25 S. Lukić
90 T. Cucchietti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Valeri · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.