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Premier League

Referee: Mark Clattenburg

Leicester

S U S U T

0–0

Full-time

Arsenal

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

7,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

8 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 18. · Arsenal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hull	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Swansea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Watford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.