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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Huddersfield
T T T T S
1–3
Full-time
Chelsea
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,2
This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
19%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 10
11 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 12. · Chelsea 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 16 15 1 0 +37 46
2 Man United 16 11 2 3 +25 35
3 Chelsea 16 10 2 4 +15 32
4 Burnley 17 9 4 4 +4 31
5 Liverpool 16 8 6 2 +14 30
6 Arsenal 16 9 2 5 +10 29
7 Tottenham 16 8 4 4 +14 28
8 Leicester 16 6 5 5 +1 23
9 Watford 16 6 4 6 -2 22
10 Everton 16 5 4 7 -9 19
11 Southampton 16 4 6 6 -3 18
12 Huddersfield 16 5 3 8 -15 18
13 Brighton 16 4 5 7 -7 17
14 Bournemouth 16 4 4 8 -4 16
15 Stoke 17 4 4 9 -17 16
16 Newcastle 16 4 3 9 -9 15
17 West Brom 16 2 7 7 -10 13
18 West Ham 16 3 4 9 -18 13
19 Swansea 16 3 3 10 -9 12
20 Crystal Palace 16 2 5 9 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Chelsea
23′
T. Bakayoko 0–1
Willian
43′
Willian 0–2
Marcos Alonso
Half-time 0–2
D. Whitehead 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
46′
50′
Pedro 0–3
Willian
F. Hadergjonaj 🔁
↦ C. Löwe
67′
69′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ E. Hazard
71′
🔁 D. Drinkwater
↦ N. Kanté
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ S. Mounié
74′
80′
🔁 E. Ampadu
↦ A. Christensen
1–3 L. Depoitre
F. Hadergjonaj
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-5-1
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
2 T. Smith D
19 D. Williams M
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
22 T. Ince M
9 E. Kachunga M
24 S. Mounié F
Bench (7)
4 D. Whitehead
33 F. Hadergjonaj
20 L. Depoitre
13 J. Coleman
14 M. Cranie
17 R. van La Parra
23 C. Quaner

Coach: D. Wagner

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
13 T. Courtois G
28 Azpilicueta D
3 Marcos Alonso M
2 A. Rüdiger D
27 A. Christensen D
22 Willian F
15 V. Moses M
10 E. Hazard F
11 Pedro F
14 T. Bakayoko M
7 N. Kanté M
Bench (7)
23 M. Batshuayi
6 D. Drinkwater
44 E. Ampadu
1 W. Caballero
4 Fàbregas
17 C. Musonda
24 G. Cahill

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.