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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
NAC Breda
U T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Twente
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
60%
73%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 15. · Twente 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 0 2 +24 39
2 AZ Alkmaar 15 11 1 3 +14 34
3 Ajax 15 10 2 3 +32 32
4 Zwolle 15 8 5 2 +8 29
5 Feyenoord 14 7 4 3 +10 25
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Den Haag 14 6 2 6 -3 20
8 Heerenveen 14 5 4 5 -2 19
9 Vitesse 12 5 3 4 +7 18
10 Heracles 15 5 3 7 -10 18
11 Excelsior 15 5 2 8 -6 17
12 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -2 16
13 VVV Venlo 15 3 7 5 -6 16
14 Willem II 15 4 3 8 -10 15
15 NAC Breda 15 3 4 8 -15 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 -12 11
17 Roda 15 3 2 10 -17 11
18 Twente 15 3 1 11 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda Twente
31′
🟨 Jos Hooiveld
Half-time 0–1
48′
O. Assaidi 0–1
D. Holla
0–2 P. Bijen
own goal
59′
61′
O. Assaidi 0–3
F. Jensen
Bart Meijers 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Danny Holla
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ G. Korte
70′
Gianluca Nijholt 🟨
72′
T. Enevoldsen 🔁
↦ G. Nijholt
77′
81′
🔁 M. Liendl
↦ F. Jensen
87′
🟨 Oussama Assaidi
Nigel Bertrams 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Cristian Cuevas
92′
🔁 L. Slagveer
↦ T. Boere
95′
🔁 M. Kvasina
↦ O. Assaidi
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-3-3
23 N. Bertrams G
22 Pablo Marí D
2 F. Sporkslede D
69 Angeliño D
18 B. Meijers D
30 G. Nijholt M
10 R. Vloet M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
7 G. Korte F
9 T. Ambrose F
Bench (8)
11 Paolo Fernandes
87 T. Enevoldsen
1 A. Noppert
12 M. Birighitti
28 D. Snepvangers
33 M. Reuvers
35 J. Horsfield
45 R. Sprangers

Coach: S. Vreven

Twente

5-3-2
16 J. Drommel G
4 J. Hooiveld D
5 S. Thesker D
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
21 D. Holla M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (8)
18 M. Liendl
17 M. Kvasina
27 L. Slagveer
6 D. Trajkovski
11 A. Laukart
14 R. Jensen
26 J. Brondeel
28 J. van der Lely

Coach: G. Verbeek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.